Monarch Casino Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution

MCRI Stock  USD 93.89  2.49  2.58%   
Monarch Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Monarch Casino's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 13th of February 2026 the relative strength indicator of Monarch Casino's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Monarch Casino's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Monarch Casino Resort, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Monarch Casino's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
4.463
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.15
EPS Estimate Current Year
5.805
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.945
Wall Street Target Price
107.6667
Using Monarch Casino hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Monarch Casino Resort from the perspective of Monarch Casino response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Monarch Casino using Monarch Casino's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Monarch using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Monarch Casino's stock price.

Monarch Casino Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Monarch Casino's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Monarch. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Monarch Casino stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
94.1131
Short Percent
0.0222
Short Ratio
3.21
Shares Short Prior Month
280.8 K
50 Day MA
95.118

Monarch Relative Strength Index

Monarch Casino Resort Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Monarch Casino's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Monarch. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Monarch can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Monarch Casino Resort. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Monarch Casino's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Monarch Casino.

Monarch Casino Implied Volatility

    
  0.58  
Monarch Casino's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Monarch Casino Resort stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Monarch Casino's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Monarch Casino stock will not fluctuate a lot when Monarch Casino's options are near their expiration.

Monarch Casino after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 93.88  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Monarch Casino to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Monarch contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Monarch Casino Resort will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0363% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Monarch Casino trading at USD 93.89, that is roughly USD 0.034 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Monarch Casino's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Monarch Casino Resort options at the current volatility level of 0.58%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Monarch Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Monarch Casino's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Monarch Casino's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Monarch Casino stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Monarch Casino's open interest, investors have to compare it to Monarch Casino's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Monarch Casino is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Monarch. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Monarch Casino Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Monarch price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Monarch using various technical indicators. When you analyze Monarch charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Monarch Casino Resort has current Accumulation Distribution of 4829.02. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Monarch Casino is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Monarch Casino Resort to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Monarch Casino trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check Monarch Casino VolatilityBacktest Monarch CasinoInformation Ratio  

Monarch Casino Trading Date Momentum

On February 12 2026 Monarch Casino Resort was traded for  93.89  at the closing time. The top price for the day was 98.45  and the lowest listed price was  93.22 . The trading volume for the day was 90.9 K. The trading history from February 12, 2026 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time against the current closing price is 3.54% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare Monarch Casino to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Monarch Casino

For every potential investor in Monarch, whether a beginner or expert, Monarch Casino's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Monarch Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Monarch. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Monarch Casino's price trends.

Monarch Casino Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Monarch Casino stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Monarch Casino could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Monarch Casino by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Monarch Casino Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Monarch Casino stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Monarch Casino shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Monarch Casino stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Monarch Casino Resort entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Monarch Casino Risk Indicators

The analysis of Monarch Casino's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Monarch Casino's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting monarch stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Monarch Casino

The number of cover stories for Monarch Casino depends on current market conditions and Monarch Casino's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Monarch Casino is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Monarch Casino's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Monarch Casino Short Properties

Monarch Casino's future price predictability will typically decrease when Monarch Casino's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Monarch Casino Resort often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Monarch Casino's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Monarch Casino's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding18.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments96.5 M
When determining whether Monarch Casino Resort offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Monarch Casino's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Monarch Casino Resort Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Monarch Casino Resort Stock:
Is there potential for Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure market expansion? Will Monarch introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Monarch Casino. Expected growth trajectory for Monarch significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Monarch Casino listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
4.463
Dividend Share
1.2
Earnings Share
5.29
Revenue Per Share
29.818
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.041
Understanding Monarch Casino Resort requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Monarch's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Monarch Casino's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Monarch Casino's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Monarch Casino's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Monarch Casino represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Monarch Casino's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.