Mister Car Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| MCW Stock | USD 6.00 0.11 1.87% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mister Car Wash on the next trading day is expected to be 6.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.23. Mister Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Mister Car's share price is at 58. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Mister Car, making its price go up or down. Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.153 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1026 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.43 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.4775 | Wall Street Target Price 7.3833 |
Using Mister Car hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mister Car Wash from the perspective of Mister Car response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Mister Car using Mister Car's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Mister using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Mister Car's stock price.
Mister Car Short Interest
An investor who is long Mister Car may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Mister Car and may potentially protect profits, hedge Mister Car with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 6.0139 | Short Percent 0.1221 | Short Ratio 10.77 | Shares Short Prior Month 12.7 M | 50 Day MA 5.5063 |
Mister Car Wash Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Mister Car's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Mister. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Mister can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Mister Car Wash. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Mister Car Implied Volatility | 1.9 |
Mister Car's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Mister Car Wash stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Mister Car's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Mister Car stock will not fluctuate a lot when Mister Car's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mister Car Wash on the next trading day is expected to be 6.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.23. Mister Car after-hype prediction price | USD 6.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mister Car to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Mister Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Mister Car's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Mister Car's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Mister Car stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Mister Car's open interest, investors have to compare it to Mister Car's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Mister Car is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Mister. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Mister Car Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mister price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mister using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mister charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Mister Car's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2020-03-31 | Previous Quarter 26.4 M | Current Value 35.7 M | Quarterly Volatility 51.3 M |
Mister Car Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mister Car Wash on the next trading day is expected to be 6.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.23.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mister Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mister Car's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mister Car Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Mister Car | Mister Car Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Mister Car Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Mister Car's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mister Car's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.75 and 8.48, respectively. We have considered Mister Car's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mister Car stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mister Car stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.0637 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1167 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0213 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.2341 |
Predictive Modules for Mister Car
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mister Car Wash. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mister Car's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Mister Car After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mister Car at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mister Car or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Mister Car, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mister Car Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mister Car's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mister Car's historical news coverage. Mister Car's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.65 and 8.35, respectively. We have considered Mister Car's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mister Car is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mister Car Wash is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mister Car Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mister Car is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mister Car backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mister Car, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 2.37 | 0.10 | 0.06 | 2 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.00 | 6.00 | 0.00 |
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Mister Car Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of January Mister Car Wash is traded for 6.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Mister is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.32%. %. The volatility of related hype on Mister Car is about 1316.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.06. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.75. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Mister Car Wash has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.63. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mister Car to cross-verify your projections.Mister Car Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mister Car's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mister Car's future price movements. Getting to know how Mister Car's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mister Car may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WWW | Wolverine World Wide | 0.03 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 5.02 | (5.49) | 28.06 | |
| TRIP | TripAdvisor | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.19 | (5.08) | 16.47 | |
| MCRI | Monarch Casino Resort | 0.58 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.64 | (2.00) | 6.16 | |
| UAA | Under Armour A | 0.06 | 23 per month | 2.08 | 0.13 | 4.98 | (3.86) | 13.53 | |
| DFH | Dream Finders Homes | 0.03 | 26 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.95 | (3.60) | 14.94 | |
| OI | O I Glass | (0.36) | 9 per month | 1.78 | 0.10 | 4.16 | (3.38) | 18.50 | |
| KSS | Kohls | 0.31 | 2 per month | 3.22 | 0.04 | 5.38 | (5.71) | 49.53 | |
| CCS | Century Communities | 1.07 | 12 per month | 1.79 | 0.05 | 6.84 | (3.24) | 13.29 | |
| MBC | MasterBrand | (0.11) | 9 per month | 2.88 | (0.01) | 5.50 | (3.25) | 15.86 |
Other Forecasting Options for Mister Car
For every potential investor in Mister, whether a beginner or expert, Mister Car's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mister Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mister. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mister Car's price trends.Mister Car Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mister Car stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mister Car could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mister Car by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Mister Car Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mister Car stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mister Car shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mister Car stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mister Car Wash entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Mister Car Risk Indicators
The analysis of Mister Car's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mister Car's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mister stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.85 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.67 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.47 | |||
| Variance | 6.09 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.92 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.78 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.26) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Mister Car
The number of cover stories for Mister Car depends on current market conditions and Mister Car's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mister Car is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mister Car's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Mister Car Short Properties
Mister Car's future price predictability will typically decrease when Mister Car's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Mister Car Wash often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Mister Car's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mister Car's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 329.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 67.5 M |
Additional Tools for Mister Stock Analysis
When running Mister Car's price analysis, check to measure Mister Car's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mister Car is operating at the current time. Most of Mister Car's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mister Car's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mister Car's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mister Car to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.