Mister Car Wash Stock Price Prediction
| MCW Stock | USD 8.00 0.12 1.52% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
85
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.157 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.07 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.3521 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.3946 | Wall Street Target Price 9.5786 |
Using Mister Car hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mister Car Wash from the perspective of Mister Car response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Mister Car to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Mister because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Mister Car after-hype prediction price | USD 8.01 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Mister |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mister Car's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Mister Car After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mister Car at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mister Car or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Mister Car, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mister Car Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mister Car's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mister Car's historical news coverage. Mister Car's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.46 and 10.56, respectively. We have considered Mister Car's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mister Car is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mister Car Wash is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mister Car Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mister Car is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mister Car backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mister Car, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 2.53 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
8.00 | 8.01 | 0.12 |
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Mister Car Hype Timeline
On the 25th of November Mister Car Wash is traded for 8.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Mister is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 8.01 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 0.12%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.32%. The volatility of related hype on Mister Car is about 3935.56%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.98. The company reported the last year's revenue of 927.07 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 80.13 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 290.26 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Mister Car Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Mister Car Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mister Car's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mister Car's future price movements. Getting to know how Mister Car's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mister Car may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DSEY | Diversey Holdings | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 0.49 | (0.36) | 1.22 | |
| BFAM | Bright Horizons Family | (1.29) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 1.83 | (2.27) | 14.64 | |
| EM | Smart Share Global | 0.00 | 4 per month | 3.24 | (0.01) | 7.04 | (5.66) | 36.17 | |
| CSV | Carriage Services | 0.08 | 8 per month | 0.84 | 0.11 | 2.84 | (2.10) | 16.85 | |
| FTDR | Frontdoor | 0.35 | 7 per month | 1.10 | 0.11 | 3.68 | (2.33) | 8.60 | |
| SCI | Service International | 0.97 | 8 per month | 0.74 | 0.07 | 1.89 | (1.37) | 8.36 | |
| ROL | Rollins | (0.57) | 9 per month | 1.77 | (0.08) | 1.53 | (2.26) | 9.52 |
Mister Car Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mister price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mister using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mister charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Mister Car Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Mister Car stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Mister Car Wash, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mister Car based on analysis of Mister Car hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Mister Car's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Mister Car's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0292 | 0.0259 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.9 | 2.75 |
Story Coverage note for Mister Car
The number of cover stories for Mister Car depends on current market conditions and Mister Car's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mister Car is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mister Car's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Mister Car Short Properties
Mister Car's future price predictability will typically decrease when Mister Car's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Mister Car Wash often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Mister Car's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mister Car's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 328.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 19 M |
Additional Tools for Mister Stock Analysis
When running Mister Car's price analysis, check to measure Mister Car's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mister Car is operating at the current time. Most of Mister Car's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mister Car's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mister Car's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mister Car to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.