McDonalds Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

MDNDF Stock  USD 42.00  0.00  0.00%   
McDonalds Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of McDonalds Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 29th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of McDonalds Holdings' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of McDonalds Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of McDonalds Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from McDonalds Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with McDonalds Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using McDonalds Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of McDonalds Holdings from the perspective of McDonalds Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of McDonalds Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 42.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.

McDonalds Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 42.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of McDonalds Holdings to cross-verify your projections.

McDonalds Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine McDonalds price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for McDonalds using various technical indicators. When you analyze McDonalds charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for McDonalds Holdings works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

McDonalds Holdings Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of McDonalds Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 42.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict McDonalds Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that McDonalds Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

McDonalds Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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McDonalds Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting McDonalds Holdings' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. McDonalds Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 42.00 and 42.00, respectively. We have considered McDonalds Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
42.00
42.00
Expected Value
42.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of McDonalds Holdings pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent McDonalds Holdings pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
When McDonalds Holdings prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any McDonalds Holdings trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent McDonalds Holdings observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for McDonalds Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as McDonalds Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of McDonalds Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
42.0042.0042.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42.0042.0042.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
42.0042.0042.00
Details

McDonalds Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of McDonalds Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in McDonalds Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of McDonalds Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

McDonalds Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting McDonalds Holdings' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on McDonalds Holdings' historical news coverage. McDonalds Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 42.00 and 42.00, respectively. We have considered McDonalds Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
42.00
42.00
After-hype Price
42.00
Upside
McDonalds Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of McDonalds Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

McDonalds Holdings Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as McDonalds Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading McDonalds Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with McDonalds Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
3 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
42.00
42.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

McDonalds Holdings Hype Timeline

McDonalds Holdings is now traded for 42.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. McDonalds is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on McDonalds Holdings is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 42.00. About 36.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of McDonalds Holdings was now reported as 1554.76. The company last dividend was issued on the 28th of December 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of McDonalds Holdings to cross-verify your projections.

McDonalds Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to McDonalds Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict McDonalds Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how McDonalds Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how McDonalds Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
THUPYThule Group AB 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 5.11 (4.37) 11.71 
USSJFUSS Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
JBFCYJollibee Foods Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 5.01 (5.07) 14.32 
JBFCFJollibee Foods(1.12)2 per month 0.00 (0.04) 7.25 (6.07) 16.28 
HNORYHarvey Norman Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15) 0.00  0.00  25.82 
YORUYYokohama Rubber Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  0.00  0.00  40.38 
LFDJFLa Franaise des 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.17) 0.97 (2.32) 7.36 
LNNGYLi Ning Co 0.00 0 per month 1.81  0.02  3.30 (3.93) 9.80 
BKGFYBerkeley Group Holdings(0.11)12 per month 1.99 (0.01) 3.11 (3.07) 9.31 
TKSHFTakashimaya Company Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for McDonalds Holdings

For every potential investor in McDonalds, whether a beginner or expert, McDonalds Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. McDonalds Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in McDonalds. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying McDonalds Holdings' price trends.

McDonalds Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with McDonalds Holdings pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of McDonalds Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing McDonalds Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

McDonalds Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how McDonalds Holdings pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading McDonalds Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying McDonalds Holdings pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify McDonalds Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for McDonalds Holdings

The number of cover stories for McDonalds Holdings depends on current market conditions and McDonalds Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that McDonalds Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about McDonalds Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in McDonalds Pink Sheet

McDonalds Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether McDonalds Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in McDonalds with respect to the benefits of owning McDonalds Holdings security.