McDonalds Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| MDO Stock | EUR 278.10 3.00 1.07% |
McDonalds Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of McDonalds' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength indicator of McDonalds' stock price is roughly 66. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 21st of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling McDonalds, making its price go up or down. Momentum 66
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.083 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.097 |
Using McDonalds hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of McDonalds from the perspective of McDonalds response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of McDonalds on the next trading day is expected to be 272.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.72 and the sum of the absolute errors of 287.99. McDonalds after-hype prediction price | EUR 278.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
McDonalds |
McDonalds Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine McDonalds price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for McDonalds using various technical indicators. When you analyze McDonalds charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
McDonalds Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 22nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of McDonalds on the next trading day is expected to be 272.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.72, mean absolute percentage error of 28.40, and the sum of the absolute errors of 287.99.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict McDonalds Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that McDonalds' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
McDonalds Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest McDonalds | McDonalds Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
McDonalds Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting McDonalds' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. McDonalds' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 271.74 and 273.79, respectively. We have considered McDonalds' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of McDonalds stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent McDonalds stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.4571 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 4.7211 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0177 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 287.9896 |
Predictive Modules for McDonalds
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as McDonalds. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.McDonalds After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of McDonalds at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in McDonalds or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of McDonalds, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
McDonalds Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting McDonalds' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on McDonalds' historical news coverage. McDonalds' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 277.12 and 279.18, respectively. We have considered McDonalds' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
McDonalds is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of McDonalds is based on 3 months time horizon.
McDonalds Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as McDonalds is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading McDonalds backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with McDonalds, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 1.03 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 11 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
278.10 | 278.15 | 0.02 |
|
McDonalds Hype Timeline
McDonalds is now traded for 278.10on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. McDonalds is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 278.15 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on McDonalds is about 1997.58%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 278.09. The company reported the revenue of 25.92 B. Net Income was 8.22 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 15.43 B. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of McDonalds to cross-verify your projections.McDonalds Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to McDonalds' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict McDonalds' future price movements. Getting to know how McDonalds' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how McDonalds may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EJ7 | Energy Resources of | (0) | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 50.00 | (33.33) | 106.67 | |
| PJM | PT Bumi Resources | (0) | 1 per month | 8.44 | 0.09 | 20.00 | (17.39) | 50.58 | |
| C6T | China Construction Bank | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 2.44 | (2.44) | 26.06 | |
| BYRA | PT Bank Rakyat | (0.01) | 1 per month | 4.07 | 0.03 | 11.11 | (10.00) | 26.67 | |
| NVDG | NVIDIA P CDR | (0.40) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.18 | (5.13) | 12.01 | |
| APC8 | APPLE INC CDR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.64 | (2.59) | 9.65 | |
| IBNN | VELA TECHNOLPLC LS 0001 | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AMZ1 | AMAZONCOM INCCDR DL 01 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 6.37 | (5.88) | 23.77 |
Other Forecasting Options for McDonalds
For every potential investor in McDonalds, whether a beginner or expert, McDonalds' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. McDonalds Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in McDonalds. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying McDonalds' price trends.McDonalds Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with McDonalds stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of McDonalds could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing McDonalds by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
McDonalds Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how McDonalds stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading McDonalds shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying McDonalds stock market strength indicators, traders can identify McDonalds entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0066 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.62) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 278.23 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 278.18 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.85 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.62) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (3.00) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 66.96 |
McDonalds Risk Indicators
The analysis of McDonalds' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in McDonalds' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mcdonalds stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8398 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8685 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.05 | |||
| Variance | 1.1 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.01 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7544 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.89) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for McDonalds
The number of cover stories for McDonalds depends on current market conditions and McDonalds' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that McDonalds is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about McDonalds' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of McDonalds to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in McDonalds Stock please use our How to Invest in McDonalds guide.You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.