Medistim ASA Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

MEDI Stock  NOK 154.00  0.50  0.32%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Medistim ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 157.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 198.13. Medistim Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Medistim ASA - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Medistim ASA prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Medistim ASA price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Medistim ASA.

Medistim ASA Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Medistim ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 157.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.36, mean absolute percentage error of 19.48, and the sum of the absolute errors of 198.13.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Medistim Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Medistim ASA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Medistim ASA Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Medistim ASAMedistim ASA Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Medistim ASA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Medistim ASA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Medistim ASA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 155.25 and 160.59, respectively. We have considered Medistim ASA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
154.00
155.25
Downside
157.92
Expected Value
160.59
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Medistim ASA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Medistim ASA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1065
MADMean absolute deviation3.3582
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0209
SAESum of the absolute errors198.1314
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Medistim ASA observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Medistim ASA observations.

Predictive Modules for Medistim ASA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Medistim ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
151.83154.50157.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
128.58131.25169.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
146.16154.00161.84
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Medistim ASA

For every potential investor in Medistim, whether a beginner or expert, Medistim ASA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Medistim Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Medistim. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Medistim ASA's price trends.

Medistim ASA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Medistim ASA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Medistim ASA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Medistim ASA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Medistim ASA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Medistim ASA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Medistim ASA's current price.

Medistim ASA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Medistim ASA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Medistim ASA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Medistim ASA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Medistim ASA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Medistim ASA Risk Indicators

The analysis of Medistim ASA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Medistim ASA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting medistim stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect

Other Information on Investing in Medistim Stock

Medistim ASA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Medistim Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Medistim with respect to the benefits of owning Medistim ASA security.