MainStay CBRE Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

MEGI Stock  USD 13.43  0.08  0.59%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of MainStay CBRE Global on the next trading day is expected to be 13.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.56. MainStay Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of MainStay CBRE's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The MainStay CBRE's current Receivables Turnover is estimated to increase to 2.05. The MainStay CBRE's current Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 0.02. The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 41.6 M.
Triple exponential smoothing for MainStay CBRE - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When MainStay CBRE prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in MainStay CBRE price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of MainStay CBRE Global.

MainStay CBRE Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of MainStay CBRE Global on the next trading day is expected to be 13.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.56.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MainStay Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MainStay CBRE's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

MainStay CBRE Stock Forecast Pattern

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MainStay CBRE Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting MainStay CBRE's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MainStay CBRE's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.41 and 14.37, respectively. We have considered MainStay CBRE's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
13.43
13.39
Expected Value
14.37
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MainStay CBRE stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MainStay CBRE stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0359
MADMean absolute deviation0.1112
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.008
SAESum of the absolute errors6.56
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past MainStay CBRE observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older MainStay CBRE Global observations.

Predictive Modules for MainStay CBRE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MainStay CBRE Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.4513.4314.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.9010.8814.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
12.9713.5714.17
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as MainStay CBRE. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against MainStay CBRE's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, MainStay CBRE's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in MainStay CBRE Global.

Other Forecasting Options for MainStay CBRE

For every potential investor in MainStay, whether a beginner or expert, MainStay CBRE's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MainStay Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MainStay. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MainStay CBRE's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

MainStay CBRE Global Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of MainStay CBRE's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of MainStay CBRE's current price.

MainStay CBRE Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MainStay CBRE stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MainStay CBRE shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MainStay CBRE stock market strength indicators, traders can identify MainStay CBRE Global entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

MainStay CBRE Risk Indicators

The analysis of MainStay CBRE's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MainStay CBRE's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mainstay stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether MainStay CBRE Global offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of MainStay CBRE's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Mainstay Cbre Global Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Mainstay Cbre Global Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MainStay CBRE to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MainStay CBRE. If investors know MainStay will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MainStay CBRE listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
0.34
The market value of MainStay CBRE Global is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MainStay that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MainStay CBRE's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MainStay CBRE's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MainStay CBRE's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MainStay CBRE's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MainStay CBRE's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MainStay CBRE is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MainStay CBRE's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.