MFA Financial Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| MFA Stock | USD 10.00 0.05 0.50% |
MFA Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast MFA Financial stock prices and determine the direction of MFA Financial's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of MFA Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the rsi of MFA Financial's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.05) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2961 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.0122 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.3398 | Wall Street Target Price 14.55 |
Using MFA Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MFA Financial from the perspective of MFA Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards MFA Financial using MFA Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards MFA using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of MFA Financial's stock price.
MFA Financial Implied Volatility | 0.71 |
MFA Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of MFA Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if MFA Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that MFA Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when MFA Financial's options are near their expiration.
MFA Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 10.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MFA Financial to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current MFA contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that MFA Financial will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0444% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With MFA Financial trading at USD 10.0, that is roughly USD 0.004438 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating MFA Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring MFA Financial options at the current volatility level of 0.71%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 MFA Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast MFA Financial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in MFA Financial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for MFA Financial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current MFA Financial's open interest, investors have to compare it to MFA Financial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of MFA Financial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in MFA. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
MFA Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MFA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MFA using various technical indicators. When you analyze MFA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 16514.16 | 16576.55 |
| Check MFA Financial Volatility | Backtest MFA Financial | Information Ratio |
MFA Financial Trading Date Momentum
| On January 23 2026 MFA Financial was traded for 10.00 at the closing time. Highest MFA Financial's price during the trading hours was 10.06 and the lowest price during the day was 9.88 . The net volume was 926.4 K. The overall trading history on the 23rd of January did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 0.90% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare MFA Financial to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for MFA Financial
For every potential investor in MFA, whether a beginner or expert, MFA Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MFA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MFA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MFA Financial's price trends.MFA Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MFA Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MFA Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MFA Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
MFA Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MFA Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MFA Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MFA Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify MFA Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 16576.55 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.2778 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 9.97 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 9.98 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.055 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.05 |
MFA Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of MFA Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MFA Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mfa stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9704 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8193 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Variance | 1.58 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.11 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.6713 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.30) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for MFA Financial
The number of cover stories for MFA Financial depends on current market conditions and MFA Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MFA Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MFA Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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MFA Financial Short Properties
MFA Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when MFA Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of MFA Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential MFA Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MFA Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 105.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 338.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MFA Financial to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade MFA Stock refer to our How to Trade MFA Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MFA Financial. If investors know MFA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MFA Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.05) | Dividend Share 1.43 | Earnings Share 0.86 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
The market value of MFA Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MFA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MFA Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MFA Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MFA Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MFA Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MFA Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MFA Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MFA Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.