MF International Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

MFI Stock   14.57  1.53  9.50%   
MFI Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of MF International's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 5th of February 2026 the relative strength indicator of MF International's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of MF International's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with mF International Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting MF International's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.179
EPS Estimate Current Year
(1.53)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.57)
Wall Street Target Price
45
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.208
Using MF International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of mF International Limited from the perspective of MF International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

MFI Relative Strength Index

The Simple Regression forecasted value of mF International Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 15.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.79 and the sum of the absolute errors of 109.15.

mF International Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to MF International's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in MFI. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding MFI can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around mF International Limited. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of MF International's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about MF International.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of mF International Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 15.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.79 and the sum of the absolute errors of 109.15.

MF International after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 16.11  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MF International to cross-verify your projections.

MF International Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine MFI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MFI using various technical indicators. When you analyze MFI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through MF International price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

MF International Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 6th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of mF International Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 15.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.79, mean absolute percentage error of 6.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 109.15.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MFI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MF International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

MF International Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest MF International  MF International Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

MF International Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting MF International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MF International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.12 and 26.06, respectively. We have considered MF International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
14.57
15.59
Expected Value
26.06
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MF International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MF International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.9256
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.7894
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1075
SAESum of the absolute errors109.1541
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as mF International Limited historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for MF International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as mF International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.6416.1126.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.8414.3124.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
13.2917.5621.83
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.14-0.14-0.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as MF International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against MF International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, MF International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in mF International.

MF International After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of MF International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MF International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MF International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

MF International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting MF International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MF International's historical news coverage. MF International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.64 and 26.58, respectively. We have considered MF International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
14.57
16.11
After-hype Price
26.58
Upside
MF International is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of mF International is based on 3 months time horizon.

MF International Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MF International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MF International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MF International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.02 
10.47
  0.01 
 0.00  
9 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
14.57
16.11
0.06 
2,380  
Notes

MF International Hype Timeline

On the 5th of February mF International is traded for 14.57. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. MFI is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 16.11 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.02%. The volatility of related hype on MF International is about 47590.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.57. The company reported the last year's revenue of 26.09 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (20.21 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 12.37 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MF International to cross-verify your projections.

MF International Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to MF International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MF International's future price movements. Getting to know how MF International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MF International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
NUKKNukkleus 0.09 11 per month 0.00 (0.21) 13.02 (12.32) 38.98 
MKTWMarketwise(0.32)8 per month 0.00 (0.05) 3.91 (2.90) 13.54 
NXTTNext Technology Holding 0.49 4 per month 0.00 (0.21) 17.13 (15.00) 47.42 
AWREAware Inc(0.02)6 per month 0.00 (0.17) 4.10 (4.52) 14.94 
BMRBeamr Imaging Ltd(0.02)8 per month 0.00 (0.12) 6.90 (8.19) 19.23 
UBXGU BX Technology Ltd 0.01 8 per month 0.00 (0.06) 4.10 (5.11) 14.69 
BLIVBeLive Holdings Ordinary(0.15)2 per month 3.33 (0.01) 6.45 (8.10) 25.76 
LPSNLivePerson 0.03 9 per month 0.00 (0.22) 5.56 (6.85) 25.36 
PHUNPhunware(0.13)6 per month 0.00 (0.19) 5.24 (5.94) 13.43 
INLXIntellinetics(0.20)8 per month 0.00 (0.16) 2.96 (3.16) 11.14 

Other Forecasting Options for MF International

For every potential investor in MFI, whether a beginner or expert, MF International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MFI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MFI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MF International's price trends.

MF International Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MF International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MF International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MF International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

MF International Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MF International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MF International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MF International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify mF International Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

MF International Risk Indicators

The analysis of MF International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MF International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mfi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for MF International

The number of cover stories for MF International depends on current market conditions and MF International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MF International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MF International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

MF International Short Properties

MF International's future price predictability will typically decrease when MF International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of mF International Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential MF International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MF International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments20 M
When determining whether mF International offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of MF International's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Mf International Limited Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Mf International Limited Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MF International to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Is there potential for Specialized Finance market expansion? Will MFI introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MF International. Expected growth trajectory for MFI significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about MF International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.179
Earnings Share
(2.26)
Revenue Per Share
18.031
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.208
Return On Assets
(0.29)
Investors evaluate mF International using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating MF International's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause MF International's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that MF International's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether MF International represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, MF International's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.