Mega Fortune Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| MGRT Stock | 8.97 0.43 4.57% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mega Fortune on the next trading day is expected to be 9.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.55 and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.89. Mega Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Payables Turnover is likely to gain to 67.83 in 2025. Receivables Turnover is likely to gain to 2.41 in 2025. Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 11 M in 2025. Mega Fortune Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mega Fortune on the next trading day is expected to be 9.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.55, mean absolute percentage error of 1.61, and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.89.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mega Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mega Fortune's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mega Fortune Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Mega Fortune | Mega Fortune Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Mega Fortune Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Mega Fortune's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mega Fortune's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.09 and 31.58, respectively. We have considered Mega Fortune's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mega Fortune stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mega Fortune stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.7495 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1718 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5481 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0754 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 32.8877 |
Predictive Modules for Mega Fortune
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mega Fortune. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Mega Fortune
For every potential investor in Mega, whether a beginner or expert, Mega Fortune's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mega Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mega. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mega Fortune's price trends.Mega Fortune Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mega Fortune stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mega Fortune could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mega Fortune by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Mega Fortune Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Mega Fortune's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Mega Fortune's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Mega Fortune Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mega Fortune stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mega Fortune shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mega Fortune stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mega Fortune entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Mega Fortune Risk Indicators
The analysis of Mega Fortune's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mega Fortune's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mega stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 10.36 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 8.92 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 21.98 | |||
| Variance | 483.04 | |||
| Downside Variance | 106.23 | |||
| Semi Variance | 79.62 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (14.02) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Thematic Opportunities
Explore Investment Opportunities
Additional Tools for Mega Stock Analysis
When running Mega Fortune's price analysis, check to measure Mega Fortune's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mega Fortune is operating at the current time. Most of Mega Fortune's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mega Fortune's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mega Fortune's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mega Fortune to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.