Mirion Technologies Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

MIR Stock  USD 16.55  0.29  1.78%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Mirion Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 16.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.17. Mirion Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Mirion Technologies' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Mirion Technologies' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Mirion Technologies fundamentals over time.
  
As of 01/21/2025, Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 0.35, while Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 2.20. . As of 01/21/2025, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 133.8 M. In addition to that, Net Loss is likely to grow to about (236.7 M).

Open Interest Against 2025-03-21 Mirion Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Mirion Technologies' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Mirion Technologies' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Mirion Technologies stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Mirion Technologies' open interest, investors have to compare it to Mirion Technologies' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Mirion Technologies is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Mirion. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Mirion Technologies is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Mirion Technologies 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 22nd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Mirion Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 16.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41, mean absolute percentage error of 0.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.17.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mirion Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mirion Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Mirion Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Mirion TechnologiesMirion Technologies Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Mirion Technologies Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Mirion Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mirion Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.13 and 18.76, respectively. We have considered Mirion Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
16.55
16.44
Expected Value
18.76
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mirion Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mirion Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.3945
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0992
MADMean absolute deviation0.4065
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0247
SAESum of the absolute errors23.17
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Mirion Technologies. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Mirion Technologies and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Mirion Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mirion Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.2416.5518.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.5013.8118.21
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
17.4719.2021.31
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.10.10.10
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Mirion Technologies

For every potential investor in Mirion, whether a beginner or expert, Mirion Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mirion Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mirion. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mirion Technologies' price trends.

View Mirion Technologies Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Mirion Technologies Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Mirion Technologies' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Mirion Technologies' current price.

Mirion Technologies Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mirion Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mirion Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mirion Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mirion Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Mirion Technologies Risk Indicators

The analysis of Mirion Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mirion Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mirion stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Additional Tools for Mirion Stock Analysis

When running Mirion Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Mirion Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mirion Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Mirion Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mirion Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mirion Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mirion Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.