Mirion Technologies Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| MIR Stock | USD 25.43 0.50 2.01% |
Mirion Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Mirion Technologies' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Mirion Technologies' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Mirion Technologies fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Mirion Technologies' share price is approaching 47. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Mirion Technologies, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1725 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.4923 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.6098 | Wall Street Target Price 30.3333 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.1025 |
Using Mirion Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mirion Technologies from the perspective of Mirion Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Mirion Technologies using Mirion Technologies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Mirion using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Mirion Technologies' stock price.
Mirion Technologies Short Interest
An investor who is long Mirion Technologies may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Mirion Technologies and may potentially protect profits, hedge Mirion Technologies with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 22.1222 | Short Percent 0.0811 | Short Ratio 8.44 | Shares Short Prior Month 21.1 M | 50 Day MA 24.9322 |
Mirion Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mirion Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 25.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.72.Mirion Technologies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Mirion Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Mirion. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Mirion can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Mirion Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Mirion Technologies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Mirion Technologies.
Mirion Technologies Implied Volatility | 0.68 |
Mirion Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Mirion Technologies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Mirion Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Mirion Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Mirion Technologies' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mirion Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 25.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.72. Mirion Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 25.43 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mirion Technologies to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Mirion contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Mirion Technologies will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0425% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Mirion Technologies trading at USD 25.43, that is roughly USD 0.0108 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Mirion Technologies' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Mirion Technologies options at the current volatility level of 0.68%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Mirion Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Mirion Technologies' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Mirion Technologies' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Mirion Technologies stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Mirion Technologies' open interest, investors have to compare it to Mirion Technologies' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Mirion Technologies is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Mirion. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Mirion Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mirion price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mirion using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mirion charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Mirion Technologies Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mirion Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 25.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52, mean absolute percentage error of 0.56, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.72.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mirion Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mirion Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mirion Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Mirion Technologies | Mirion Technologies Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Mirion Technologies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Mirion Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mirion Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.46 and 28.38, respectively. We have considered Mirion Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mirion Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mirion Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.5255 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0609 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.52 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0208 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 31.7174 |
Predictive Modules for Mirion Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mirion Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mirion Technologies After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mirion Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mirion Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Mirion Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mirion Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mirion Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mirion Technologies' historical news coverage. Mirion Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.46 and 28.40, respectively. We have considered Mirion Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mirion Technologies is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mirion Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mirion Technologies Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mirion Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mirion Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mirion Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 2.96 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
25.43 | 25.43 | 0.00 |
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Mirion Technologies Hype Timeline
On the 4th of February Mirion Technologies is traded for 25.43. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Mirion is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Mirion Technologies is about 6342.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.43. About 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Mirion Technologies was now reported as 8.16. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mirion Technologies to cross-verify your projections.Mirion Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mirion Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mirion Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Mirion Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mirion Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JBTM | JBTMarel Corp | (3.19) | 11 per month | 0.98 | 0.15 | 3.84 | (2.21) | 15.08 | |
| MIDD | Middleby Corp | 5.18 | 9 per month | 1.38 | 0.13 | 3.85 | (2.77) | 12.68 | |
| GTES | Gates Industrial | 0.44 | 6 per month | 1.72 | 0.03 | 3.04 | (2.94) | 9.05 | |
| MOG-A | Moog Inc | 0.13 | 6 per month | 0.72 | 0.32 | 3.81 | (1.72) | 11.04 | |
| NPO | Enpro Industries | (4.35) | 9 per month | 2.48 | 0.04 | 3.52 | (3.85) | 9.97 | |
| PONY | Pony AI American | 0.26 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 7.28 | (8.03) | 22.01 | |
| ROAD | Construction Partners | 1.79 | 10 per month | 2.34 | (0.01) | 3.13 | (4.23) | 7.84 | |
| GXO | GXO Logistics | 0.32 | 10 per month | 1.77 | 0.03 | 3.22 | (2.93) | 9.51 | |
| REZI | Resideo Technologies | (0.16) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.79 | (4.26) | 23.75 |
Other Forecasting Options for Mirion Technologies
For every potential investor in Mirion, whether a beginner or expert, Mirion Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mirion Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mirion. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mirion Technologies' price trends.Mirion Technologies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mirion Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mirion Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mirion Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Mirion Technologies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mirion Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mirion Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mirion Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mirion Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Mirion Technologies Risk Indicators
The analysis of Mirion Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mirion Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mirion stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.07 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.97 | |||
| Variance | 8.79 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Mirion Technologies
The number of cover stories for Mirion Technologies depends on current market conditions and Mirion Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mirion Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mirion Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Mirion Technologies Short Properties
Mirion Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Mirion Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Mirion Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Mirion Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mirion Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 205 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 181.1 M |
Additional Tools for Mirion Stock Analysis
When running Mirion Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Mirion Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mirion Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Mirion Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mirion Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mirion Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mirion Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.