McCormick Company Etf Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| MKC Etf | USD 63.41 2.44 4.00% |
McCormick Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast McCormick Company stock prices and determine the direction of McCormick Company Incorporated's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of McCormick Company's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of McCormick Company's share price is approaching 45. This indicates that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling McCormick Company, making its price go up or down. Momentum 45
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.064 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.09 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.326 | Wall Street Target Price 72.8462 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.8756 |
Using McCormick Company hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of McCormick Company Incorporated from the perspective of McCormick Company response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards McCormick Company using McCormick Company's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards McCormick using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of McCormick Company's stock price.
McCormick Company Implied Volatility | 0.57 |
McCormick Company's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of McCormick Company Incorporated stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if McCormick Company's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that McCormick Company stock will not fluctuate a lot when McCormick Company's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of McCormick Company Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 63.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.68. McCormick Company after-hype prediction price | USD 63.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current McCormick contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that McCormick Company Incorporated will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0356% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With McCormick Company trading at USD 63.41, that is roughly USD 0.0226 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating McCormick Company's daily price movement you should consider acquiring McCormick Company Incorporated options at the current volatility level of 0.57%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 McCormick Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast McCormick Company's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in McCormick Company's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for McCormick Company stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current McCormick Company's open interest, investors have to compare it to McCormick Company's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of McCormick Company is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in McCormick. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
McCormick Company Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine McCormick price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for McCormick using various technical indicators. When you analyze McCormick charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
McCormick Company Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of McCormick Company Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 63.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89, mean absolute percentage error of 1.73, and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.68.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict McCormick Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that McCormick Company's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
McCormick Company Etf Forecast Pattern
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McCormick Company Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting McCormick Company's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. McCormick Company's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 61.71 and 65.11, respectively. We have considered McCormick Company's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of McCormick Company etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent McCormick Company etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.8209 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.004 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8947 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0138 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 53.68 |
Predictive Modules for McCormick Company
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as McCormick Company. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.McCormick Company After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of McCormick Company at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in McCormick Company or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of McCormick Company, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
McCormick Company Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting McCormick Company's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on McCormick Company's historical news coverage. McCormick Company's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 61.72 and 65.10, respectively. We have considered McCormick Company's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
McCormick Company is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of McCormick Company is based on 3 months time horizon.
McCormick Company Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as McCormick Company is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading McCormick Company backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with McCormick Company, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.70 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
63.41 | 63.41 | 0.00 |
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McCormick Company Hype Timeline
On the 28th of January McCormick Company is traded for 63.41. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. McCormick is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 149.12%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on McCormick Company is about 7727.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 63.41. About 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of McCormick Company was now reported as 21.37. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.35. McCormick Company last dividend was issued on the 29th of December 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 1st of December 2020. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of McCormick Company to cross-verify your projections.McCormick Company Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to McCormick Company's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict McCormick Company's future price movements. Getting to know how McCormick Company's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how McCormick Company may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TSN | Tyson Foods | 0.46 | 11 per month | 1.12 | 0.17 | 3.17 | (2.03) | 8.77 | |
| USFD | US Foods Holding | (0.29) | 13 per month | 1.12 | 0.05 | 3.31 | (2.04) | 10.44 | |
| HRL | Hormel Foods | 0.55 | 26 per month | 1.84 | 0.01 | 2.36 | (2.00) | 9.38 | |
| KOF | Coca Cola Femsa SAB | 0.46 | 3 per month | 0.77 | 0.23 | 2.92 | (1.50) | 5.77 | |
| SGI | Somnigroup International | (0.58) | 13 per month | 1.41 | 0.03 | 2.56 | (2.39) | 15.47 | |
| BG | Bunge Limited | 1.08 | 10 per month | 0.82 | 0.16 | 3.20 | (1.84) | 6.25 | |
| PFGC | Performance Food Group | 0.42 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.82 | (2.08) | 7.33 | |
| SJM | The J M | (1.83) | 9 per month | 1.53 | (0.05) | 2.58 | (2.38) | 6.31 | |
| CPB | Campbells Co | (0.07) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.28 | (3.12) | 8.15 | |
| LW | Lamb Weston Holdings | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.51 | (2.96) | 30.35 |
Other Forecasting Options for McCormick Company
For every potential investor in McCormick, whether a beginner or expert, McCormick Company's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. McCormick Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in McCormick. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying McCormick Company's price trends.McCormick Company Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with McCormick Company etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of McCormick Company could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing McCormick Company by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
McCormick Company Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how McCormick Company etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading McCormick Company shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying McCormick Company etf market strength indicators, traders can identify McCormick Company Incorporated entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
McCormick Company Risk Indicators
The analysis of McCormick Company's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in McCormick Company's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mccormick etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.7 | |||
| Variance | 2.89 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for McCormick Company
The number of cover stories for McCormick Company depends on current market conditions and McCormick Company's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that McCormick Company is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about McCormick Company's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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McCormick Company Short Properties
McCormick Company's future price predictability will typically decrease when McCormick Company's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of McCormick Company Incorporated often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential McCormick Company's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. McCormick Company's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 269.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 95.9 M |
Other Information on Investing in McCormick Etf
McCormick Company financial ratios help investors to determine whether McCormick Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in McCormick with respect to the benefits of owning McCormick Company security.