Mitek Systems Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| MKQ Stock | EUR 11.29 1.98 21.27% |
Mitek Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Mitek Systems' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 15th of February 2026 the relative strength indicator of Mitek Systems' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.78) | Wall Street Target Price 25 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.188 |
Using Mitek Systems hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mitek Systems from the perspective of Mitek Systems response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Mitek Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 10.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.29. Mitek Systems after-hype prediction price | EUR 11.35 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Mitek |
Mitek Systems Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mitek price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mitek using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mitek charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Mitek Systems Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 16th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Mitek Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 10.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37, mean absolute percentage error of 0.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.29.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mitek Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mitek Systems' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mitek Systems Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Mitek Systems | Mitek Systems Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Mitek Systems Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Mitek Systems' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mitek Systems' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.71 and 14.85, respectively. We have considered Mitek Systems' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mitek Systems stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mitek Systems stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.5772 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3655 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0425 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 22.2944 |
Predictive Modules for Mitek Systems
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mitek Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mitek Systems After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mitek Systems at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mitek Systems or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Mitek Systems, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mitek Systems Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mitek Systems' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mitek Systems' historical news coverage. Mitek Systems' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.78 and 15.92, respectively. We have considered Mitek Systems' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mitek Systems is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mitek Systems is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mitek Systems Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mitek Systems is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mitek Systems backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mitek Systems, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.73 | 4.57 | 0.07 | 0.80 | 7 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
11.29 | 11.35 | 0.53 |
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Mitek Systems Hype Timeline
Mitek Systems is now traded for 11.29on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.8. Mitek is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 11.35 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 0.53%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.73%. The volatility of related hype on Mitek Systems is about 419.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.49. The company reported the revenue of 179.69 M. Net Income was 8.8 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 157.43 M. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mitek Systems to cross-verify your projections.Mitek Systems Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mitek Systems' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mitek Systems' future price movements. Getting to know how Mitek Systems' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mitek Systems may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NVDG | NVIDIA P CDR | (1.60) | 1 per month | 2.72 | (0) | 4.88 | (5.13) | 17.14 | |
| NVD | NVIDIA | (1.68) | 10 per month | 2.18 | (0.03) | 3.40 | (4.02) | 12.71 | |
| NVD | NVIDIA | 1.52 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.25 | (3.19) | 10.90 | |
| APC8 | APPLE INC CDR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.66 | (2.59) | 7.08 | |
| APC | Apple Inc | (1.14) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.18 | (2.11) | 7.96 | |
| APC | Apple Inc | 0.55 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.26 | (2.51) | 9.28 | |
| ABEC | Alphabet | (0.35) | 7 per month | 1.30 | 0.03 | 3.49 | (2.46) | 7.76 | |
| ABEC | Alphabet | (4.15) | 10 per month | 1.29 | 0.04 | 3.42 | (2.30) | 7.95 | |
| ABEA | Alphabet Class A | (1.50) | 8 per month | 1.47 | 0.03 | 3.30 | (2.46) | 9.71 | |
| ABEA | Alphabet Class A | (2.55) | 6 per month | 1.35 | 0.03 | 3.43 | (2.46) | 8.07 |
Other Forecasting Options for Mitek Systems
For every potential investor in Mitek, whether a beginner or expert, Mitek Systems' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mitek Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mitek. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mitek Systems' price trends.Mitek Systems Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mitek Systems stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mitek Systems could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mitek Systems by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Mitek Systems Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mitek Systems stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mitek Systems shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mitek Systems stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mitek Systems entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Mitek Systems Risk Indicators
The analysis of Mitek Systems' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mitek Systems' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mitek stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.7 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.5 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.44 | |||
| Variance | 19.73 | |||
| Downside Variance | 9.04 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.26 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.36) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Mitek Systems
The number of cover stories for Mitek Systems depends on current market conditions and Mitek Systems' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mitek Systems is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mitek Systems' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mitek Systems to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Mitek Stock please use our How to Invest in Mitek Systems guide.You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.