MKS Instruments Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average

MKT Stock  EUR 211.40  5.10  2.36%   
MKS Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of MKS Instruments' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 15th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of MKS Instruments' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of MKS Instruments' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of MKS Instruments and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from MKS Instruments' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with MKS Instruments, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting MKS Instruments' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.195
Wall Street Target Price
220.2
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.103
Using MKS Instruments hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MKS Instruments from the perspective of MKS Instruments response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of MKS Instruments on the next trading day is expected to be 211.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.74 and the sum of the absolute errors of 279.58.

MKS Instruments after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 216.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MKS Instruments to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in MKS Stock please use our How to Invest in MKS Instruments guide.

MKS Instruments Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine MKS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MKS using various technical indicators. When you analyze MKS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for MKS Instruments is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

MKS Instruments Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 16th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of MKS Instruments on the next trading day is expected to be 211.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.74, mean absolute percentage error of 39.83, and the sum of the absolute errors of 279.58.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MKS Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MKS Instruments' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

MKS Instruments Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest MKS Instruments  MKS Instruments Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

MKS Instruments Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting MKS Instruments' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MKS Instruments' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 208.07 and 214.73, respectively. We have considered MKS Instruments' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
211.40
208.07
Downside
211.40
Expected Value
214.73
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MKS Instruments stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MKS Instruments stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.1193
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -2.2786
MADMean absolute deviation4.7386
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0288
SAESum of the absolute errors279.575
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of MKS Instruments price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of MKS Instruments. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for MKS Instruments

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MKS Instruments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
190.26216.20219.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
186.93190.26232.54
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.732.772.94
Details

MKS Instruments After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of MKS Instruments at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MKS Instruments or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MKS Instruments, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

MKS Instruments Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting MKS Instruments' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MKS Instruments' historical news coverage. MKS Instruments' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 190.26 and 219.53, respectively. We have considered MKS Instruments' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
211.40
190.26
Downside
216.20
After-hype Price
219.53
Upside
MKS Instruments is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MKS Instruments is based on 3 months time horizon.

MKS Instruments Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MKS Instruments is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MKS Instruments backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MKS Instruments, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.95 
3.33
  4.80 
  0.70 
8 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
211.40
216.20
2.27 
65.94  
Notes

MKS Instruments Hype Timeline

MKS Instruments is now traded for 211.40on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 4.8, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.7. MKS is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 216.2 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 65.94%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 2.27%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.95%. The volatility of related hype on MKS Instruments is about 452.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 212.10. MKS Instruments has accumulated 50 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 52.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MKS Instruments to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in MKS Stock please use our How to Invest in MKS Instruments guide.

MKS Instruments Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to MKS Instruments' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MKS Instruments' future price movements. Getting to know how MKS Instruments' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MKS Instruments may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
U1PURANEX 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
2I7CLASSIC MINERALS LTD 0.00 3 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
U1PMagnis Resources Limited 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
55LTLOU ENERGY LTD 0.00 2 per month 21.74  0.14  60.00 (44.44) 2,195 
PX0POLARX LTD 4.10 7 per month 10.24  0.07  13.33 (14.29) 140.63 
JMIDeep Yellow Limited 0.02 5 per month 3.18  0.21  5.92 (6.38) 20.28 
FTDFINDE TUBIZE ACTNOUV 2.50 1 per month 1.33  0.08  2.89 (2.35) 10.97 
RSXProminence Energy Limited 0.00 7 per month 0.00  0.24  1,200 (92.31) 1,292 
2QGQUANTUM GENOMICS EO 0.00 3 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for MKS Instruments

For every potential investor in MKS, whether a beginner or expert, MKS Instruments' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MKS Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MKS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MKS Instruments' price trends.

MKS Instruments Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MKS Instruments stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MKS Instruments could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MKS Instruments by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

MKS Instruments Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MKS Instruments stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MKS Instruments shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MKS Instruments stock market strength indicators, traders can identify MKS Instruments entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

MKS Instruments Risk Indicators

The analysis of MKS Instruments' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MKS Instruments' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mks stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for MKS Instruments

The number of cover stories for MKS Instruments depends on current market conditions and MKS Instruments' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MKS Instruments is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MKS Instruments' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
When determining whether MKS Instruments offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of MKS Instruments' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Mks Instruments Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Mks Instruments Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MKS Instruments to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in MKS Stock please use our How to Invest in MKS Instruments guide.
You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Understanding that MKS Instruments' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether MKS Instruments represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, MKS Instruments' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.