MoneyLion Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

MLDelisted Stock  USD 85.90  0.61  0.72%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of MoneyLion on the next trading day is expected to be 86.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.78. MoneyLion Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for MoneyLion is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of MoneyLion value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

MoneyLion Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of MoneyLion on the next trading day is expected to be 86.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42, mean absolute percentage error of 0.28, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.78.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MoneyLion Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MoneyLion's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

MoneyLion Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MoneyLion stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MoneyLion stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.8294
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4226
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0049
SAESum of the absolute errors25.778
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of MoneyLion. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict MoneyLion. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for MoneyLion

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MoneyLion. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
85.9085.9085.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
73.3373.3394.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
84.7585.9087.04
Details

MoneyLion Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MoneyLion stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MoneyLion could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MoneyLion by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

MoneyLion Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MoneyLion stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MoneyLion shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MoneyLion stock market strength indicators, traders can identify MoneyLion entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

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Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

Other Consideration for investing in MoneyLion Stock

If you are still planning to invest in MoneyLion check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the MoneyLion's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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