Multi Bintang Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

MLBI Stock  IDR 6,500  25.00  0.38%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Multi Bintang Indonesia on the next trading day is expected to be 6,447 with a mean absolute deviation of 105.99 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6,465. Multi Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Multi Bintang polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Multi Bintang Indonesia as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Multi Bintang Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Multi Bintang Indonesia on the next trading day is expected to be 6,447 with a mean absolute deviation of 105.99, mean absolute percentage error of 20,268, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6,465.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Multi Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Multi Bintang's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Multi Bintang Stock Forecast Pattern

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Multi Bintang Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Multi Bintang's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Multi Bintang's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6,445 and 6,448, respectively. We have considered Multi Bintang's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
6,500
6,447
Expected Value
6,448
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Multi Bintang stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Multi Bintang stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria128.0273
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation105.9864
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.017
SAESum of the absolute errors6465.1688
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Multi Bintang historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Multi Bintang

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Multi Bintang Indonesia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6,4736,4756,477
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5,3955,3977,122
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
6,2126,5066,800
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Multi Bintang

For every potential investor in Multi, whether a beginner or expert, Multi Bintang's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Multi Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Multi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Multi Bintang's price trends.

Multi Bintang Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Multi Bintang stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Multi Bintang could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Multi Bintang by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Multi Bintang Indonesia Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Multi Bintang's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Multi Bintang's current price.

Multi Bintang Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Multi Bintang stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Multi Bintang shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Multi Bintang stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Multi Bintang Indonesia entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Multi Bintang Risk Indicators

The analysis of Multi Bintang's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Multi Bintang's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting multi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Multi Stock

Multi Bintang financial ratios help investors to determine whether Multi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Multi with respect to the benefits of owning Multi Bintang security.