Compagnie Des Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

MLEDR Stock  EUR 42.80  0.20  0.47%   
Compagnie Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Compagnie Des' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Compagnie Des' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Compagnie Des fundamentals over time.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Compagnie Des' share price is approaching 44. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Compagnie Des, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 44

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Compagnie Des' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Compagnie des Eaux, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Compagnie Des hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Compagnie des Eaux from the perspective of Compagnie Des response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Compagnie des Eaux on the next trading day is expected to be 42.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.75 and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.27.

Compagnie Des after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 42.8  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Compagnie Des to cross-verify your projections.

Compagnie Des Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Compagnie price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Compagnie using various technical indicators. When you analyze Compagnie charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Compagnie Des price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Compagnie Des Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 21st of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Compagnie des Eaux on the next trading day is expected to be 42.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.75, mean absolute percentage error of 1.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.27.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Compagnie Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Compagnie Des' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Compagnie Des Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Compagnie Des  Compagnie Des Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Compagnie Des Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Compagnie Des' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Compagnie Des' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 39.50 and 45.18, respectively. We have considered Compagnie Des' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
42.80
42.34
Expected Value
45.18
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Compagnie Des stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Compagnie Des stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.9518
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.7463
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0176
SAESum of the absolute errors46.2706
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Compagnie des Eaux historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Compagnie Des

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Compagnie des Eaux. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39.9642.8045.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.0335.8747.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
31.3542.7054.05
Details

Compagnie Des After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Compagnie Des at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Compagnie Des or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Compagnie Des, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Compagnie Des Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Compagnie Des' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Compagnie Des' historical news coverage. Compagnie Des' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 39.96 and 45.64, respectively. We have considered Compagnie Des' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
42.80
42.80
After-hype Price
45.64
Upside
Compagnie Des is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Compagnie des Eaux is based on 3 months time horizon.

Compagnie Des Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Compagnie Des is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Compagnie Des backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Compagnie Des, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05 
2.84
 0.00  
 0.00  
1 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
42.80
42.80
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Compagnie Des Hype Timeline

Compagnie des Eaux is now traded for 42.80on Euronext Paris of France. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Compagnie is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Compagnie Des is about 18441.56%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 42.80. About 84.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Compagnie Des was now reported as 22.28. The company recorded a loss per share of 2.52. Compagnie des Eaux last dividend was issued on the 29th of June 2023. The entity had 28:1 split on the 19th of November 2004. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be very soon.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Compagnie Des to cross-verify your projections.

Compagnie Des Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Compagnie Des' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Compagnie Des' future price movements. Getting to know how Compagnie Des' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Compagnie Des may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ALMETMethanor 0.22 6 per month 0.00 (0.04) 6.56 (7.20) 21.73 
ALAGOE Pango SA(0.01)2 per month 0.00 (0.09) 14.29 (21.87) 66.21 
ALAGPAgripower France Sa 0.00 0 per month 2.07 (0.01) 6.00 (3.85) 15.44 
ALOKWGroupe OKwind 0.01 2 per month 0.00 (0.03) 10.00 (8.33) 46.19 
MLCMGCMG Cleantech SA 0.00 2 per month 0.00 (0.32) 0.00 (6.25) 7.69 
ARVENARVERNE GROUP(0.04)3 per month 0.97 (0.02) 2.05 (1.96) 7.64 
ALVERVergnet(0.05)2 per month 0.00  0.12  0.00 (27.66) 759,938 
ALHAFHaffner Energy SA(0.01)3 per month 0.00 (0.06) 22.78 (13.68) 60.71 

Other Forecasting Options for Compagnie Des

For every potential investor in Compagnie, whether a beginner or expert, Compagnie Des' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Compagnie Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Compagnie. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Compagnie Des' price trends.

Compagnie Des Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Compagnie Des stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Compagnie Des could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Compagnie Des by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Compagnie Des Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Compagnie Des stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Compagnie Des shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Compagnie Des stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Compagnie des Eaux entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Compagnie Des Risk Indicators

The analysis of Compagnie Des' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Compagnie Des' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting compagnie stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Compagnie Des

The number of cover stories for Compagnie Des depends on current market conditions and Compagnie Des' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Compagnie Des is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Compagnie Des' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Additional Tools for Compagnie Stock Analysis

When running Compagnie Des' price analysis, check to measure Compagnie Des' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Compagnie Des is operating at the current time. Most of Compagnie Des' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Compagnie Des' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Compagnie Des' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Compagnie Des to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.