Hopening Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

MLHPE Stock   7.85  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hopening SA on the next trading day is expected to be 7.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.19. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Hopening's stock prices and determine the direction of Hopening SA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hopening's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.
  
A naive forecasting model for Hopening is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Hopening SA value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Hopening Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hopening SA on the next trading day is expected to be 7.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000079, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.19.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hopening Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hopening's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hopening Stock Forecast Pattern

Hopening Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hopening's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hopening's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.74 and 7.96, respectively. We have considered Hopening's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.85
7.85
Expected Value
7.96
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hopening stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hopening stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.6679
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0032
MAPEMean absolute percentage error4.0E-4
SAESum of the absolute errors0.1934
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Hopening SA. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Hopening. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Hopening

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hopening SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hopening's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.

Other Forecasting Options for Hopening

For every potential investor in Hopening, whether a beginner or expert, Hopening's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hopening Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hopening. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hopening's price trends.

Hopening Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hopening stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hopening could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hopening by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hopening SA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hopening's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hopening's current price.

Hopening Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hopening stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hopening shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hopening stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hopening SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hopening Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hopening's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hopening's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hopening stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Hopening Stock Analysis

When running Hopening's price analysis, check to measure Hopening's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hopening is operating at the current time. Most of Hopening's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hopening's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hopening's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hopening to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.