Option Care Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| MM6A Stock | EUR 29.60 0.20 0.67% |
Option Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Option Care's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of February 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Option Care's share price is approaching 44. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Option Care, making its price go up or down. Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.032 | Wall Street Target Price 27.94 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.122 |
Using Option Care hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Option Care Health from the perspective of Option Care response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Option Care Health on the next trading day is expected to be 29.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.87 and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.27. Option Care after-hype prediction price | EUR 29.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Option |
Option Care Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Option price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Option using various technical indicators. When you analyze Option charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Option Care Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Option Care Health on the next trading day is expected to be 29.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.87, mean absolute percentage error of 1.29, and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.27.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Option Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Option Care's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Option Care Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Option Care | Option Care Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Option Care Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Option Care's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Option Care's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 27.07 and 32.42, respectively. We have considered Option Care's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Option Care stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Option Care stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.3679 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8733 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0307 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 53.2742 |
Predictive Modules for Option Care
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Option Care Health. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Option Care After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Option Care at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Option Care or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Option Care, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Option Care Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Option Care's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Option Care's historical news coverage. Option Care's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 26.90 and 32.30, respectively. We have considered Option Care's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Option Care is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Option Care Health is based on 3 months time horizon.
Option Care Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Option Care is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Option Care backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Option Care, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 2.68 | 0.05 | 0.11 | 9 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
29.60 | 29.60 | 0.00 |
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Option Care Hype Timeline
Option Care Health is now traded for 29.60on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.11. Option is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on Option Care is about 570.21%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.49. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Option Care was now reported as 7.17. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.58. Option Care Health had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:4 split on the 3rd of February 2020. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Option Care to cross-verify your projections.Option Care Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Option Care's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Option Care's future price movements. Getting to know how Option Care's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Option Care may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EII | Eisai Co | 0.30 | 3 per month | 1.75 | 0.03 | 4.98 | (3.42) | 11.38 | |
| SFT | SoftBank Group Corp | (0.70) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 7.87 | (7.74) | 19.09 | |
| SFT | SoftBank Group Corp | 0.39 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 7.87 | (8.39) | 22.59 | |
| SFT | SoftBank Group Corp | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 7.35 | (6.97) | 17.51 | |
| SFT | SoftBank Group Corp | (0.35) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 6.81 | (6.06) | 15.01 | |
| SFT | SoftBank Group Corp | (1.50) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 7.91 | (6.08) | 20.52 | |
| SFTU | SoftBank Group Corp | (0.20) | 5 per month | 14.31 | 0.12 | 7.50 | (9.05) | 384.22 | |
| SFT | SoftBank Group Corp | (0.06) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 7.50 | (6.67) | 18.75 | |
| SFT | SoftBank Group Corp | (1.97) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 6.48 | (6.56) | 16.53 | |
| SFTU | SoftBank Group Corp | (0.60) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 9.32 | (7.41) | 27.44 |
Other Forecasting Options for Option Care
For every potential investor in Option, whether a beginner or expert, Option Care's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Option Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Option. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Option Care's price trends.Option Care Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Option Care stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Option Care could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Option Care by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Option Care Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Option Care stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Option Care shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Option Care stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Option Care Health entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 29.6 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 29.6 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.10) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.20) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 44.85 |
Option Care Risk Indicators
The analysis of Option Care's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Option Care's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting option stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.86 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.61 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.67 | |||
| Variance | 7.14 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.15 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.6 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.01) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Option Care
The number of cover stories for Option Care depends on current market conditions and Option Care's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Option Care is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Option Care's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Option Care to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.