Marsh McLennan Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

MMCDelisted Stock  USD 182.70  2.93  1.58%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Marsh McLennan Companies on the next trading day is expected to be 182.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.51 and the sum of the absolute errors of 90.49. Marsh Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Marsh McLennan stock prices and determine the direction of Marsh McLennan Companies's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Marsh McLennan's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Marsh McLennan's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Marsh McLennan's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Marsh McLennan Companies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Marsh McLennan hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Marsh McLennan Companies from the perspective of Marsh McLennan response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Marsh McLennan Companies on the next trading day is expected to be 182.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.51 and the sum of the absolute errors of 90.49.

Marsh McLennan after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 182.59  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Marsh McLennan to cross-verify your projections.

Marsh McLennan Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Marsh price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Marsh using various technical indicators. When you analyze Marsh charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Marsh McLennan simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Marsh McLennan Companies are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Marsh McLennan Companies prices get older.

Marsh McLennan Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 17th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Marsh McLennan Companies on the next trading day is expected to be 182.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.51, mean absolute percentage error of 3.66, and the sum of the absolute errors of 90.49.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Marsh Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Marsh McLennan's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Marsh McLennan Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Marsh McLennanMarsh McLennan Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Marsh McLennan Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Marsh McLennan's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Marsh McLennan's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 181.64 and 183.76, respectively. We have considered Marsh McLennan's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
182.70
181.64
Downside
182.70
Expected Value
183.76
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Marsh McLennan stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Marsh McLennan stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.5711
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1148
MADMean absolute deviation1.5082
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0082
SAESum of the absolute errors90.49
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Marsh McLennan Companies forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Marsh McLennan observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Marsh McLennan

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marsh McLennan Companies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
181.54182.59183.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
154.45155.50200.97
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Marsh McLennan

For every potential investor in Marsh, whether a beginner or expert, Marsh McLennan's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Marsh Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Marsh. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Marsh McLennan's price trends.

Marsh McLennan Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Marsh McLennan stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Marsh McLennan could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Marsh McLennan by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Marsh McLennan Companies Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Marsh McLennan's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Marsh McLennan's current price.

Marsh McLennan Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Marsh McLennan stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Marsh McLennan shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Marsh McLennan stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Marsh McLennan Companies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Marsh McLennan Risk Indicators

The analysis of Marsh McLennan's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Marsh McLennan's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting marsh stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Marsh McLennan to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

Other Consideration for investing in Marsh Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Marsh McLennan Companies check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Marsh McLennan's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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