Marsh McLennan Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

MMC Stock  USD 187.34  4.87  2.67%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Marsh McLennan Companies on the next trading day is expected to be 187.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.96 and the sum of the absolute errors of 115.38. Marsh Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Marsh McLennan stock prices and determine the direction of Marsh McLennan Companies's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Marsh McLennan's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Marsh McLennan's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Marsh McLennan's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Marsh McLennan Companies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Marsh McLennan's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.9645
EPS Estimate Current Year
9.6068
EPS Estimate Next Year
10.3244
Wall Street Target Price
211
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
1.7776
Using Marsh McLennan hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Marsh McLennan Companies from the perspective of Marsh McLennan response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Marsh McLennan using Marsh McLennan's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Marsh using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Marsh McLennan's stock price.

Marsh McLennan Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Marsh McLennan's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Marsh. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Marsh McLennan stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
207.2161
Short Percent
0.0107
Short Ratio
1.88
Shares Short Prior Month
5.5 M
50 Day MA
182.9838

Marsh McLennan Companies Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Marsh McLennan's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Marsh. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Marsh can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Marsh McLennan Companies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Marsh McLennan's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Marsh McLennan.

Marsh McLennan Implied Volatility

    
  0.3  
Marsh McLennan's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Marsh McLennan Companies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Marsh McLennan's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Marsh McLennan stock will not fluctuate a lot when Marsh McLennan's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Marsh McLennan Companies on the next trading day is expected to be 187.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.96 and the sum of the absolute errors of 115.38.

Marsh McLennan after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 187.26  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Marsh McLennan to cross-verify your projections.
At present, Marsh McLennan's Receivables Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 0.88, whereas Inventory Turnover is projected to grow to (2.6 K). . The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 4.9 B, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 555.1 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Marsh Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Marsh McLennan's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Marsh McLennan's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Marsh McLennan stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Marsh McLennan's open interest, investors have to compare it to Marsh McLennan's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Marsh McLennan is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Marsh. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Marsh McLennan Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Marsh price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Marsh using various technical indicators. When you analyze Marsh charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Marsh McLennan is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Marsh McLennan Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 8th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Marsh McLennan Companies on the next trading day is expected to be 187.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.96, mean absolute percentage error of 10.51, and the sum of the absolute errors of 115.38.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Marsh Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Marsh McLennan's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Marsh McLennan Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Marsh McLennanMarsh McLennan Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Marsh McLennan Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Marsh McLennan's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Marsh McLennan's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 185.85 and 188.83, respectively. We have considered Marsh McLennan's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
187.34
185.85
Downside
187.34
Expected Value
188.83
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Marsh McLennan stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Marsh McLennan stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.7873
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.4917
MADMean absolute deviation1.9556
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0106
SAESum of the absolute errors115.38
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Marsh McLennan Companies price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Marsh McLennan. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Marsh McLennan

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marsh McLennan Companies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
185.77187.26188.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
168.61190.74192.23
Details
20 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
192.01211.00234.21
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.163.243.34
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Marsh McLennan

For every potential investor in Marsh, whether a beginner or expert, Marsh McLennan's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Marsh Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Marsh. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Marsh McLennan's price trends.

Marsh McLennan Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Marsh McLennan stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Marsh McLennan could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Marsh McLennan by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Marsh McLennan Companies Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Marsh McLennan's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Marsh McLennan's current price.

Marsh McLennan Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Marsh McLennan stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Marsh McLennan shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Marsh McLennan stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Marsh McLennan Companies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Marsh McLennan Risk Indicators

The analysis of Marsh McLennan's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Marsh McLennan's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting marsh stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Marsh McLennan Companies offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Marsh McLennan's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Marsh Mclennan Companies Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Marsh Mclennan Companies Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Marsh McLennan to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Is Insurance Brokers space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Marsh McLennan. If investors know Marsh will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Marsh McLennan listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Dividend Share
3.43
Earnings Share
8.34
Revenue Per Share
53.766
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.115
Return On Assets
0.0788
The market value of Marsh McLennan Companies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Marsh that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Marsh McLennan's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Marsh McLennan's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Marsh McLennan's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Marsh McLennan's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Marsh McLennan's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Marsh McLennan is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Marsh McLennan's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.