MannKind Corp Stock Forward View
| MNKD Stock | USD 5.78 0.01 0.17% |
MannKind Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast MannKind Corp stock prices and determine the direction of MannKind Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of MannKind Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The RSI of MannKind Corp's share price is at 52. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling MannKind Corp, making its price go up or down. Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.35) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.04 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.1933 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.1467 | Wall Street Target Price 9.4375 |
Using MannKind Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MannKind Corp from the perspective of MannKind Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards MannKind Corp using MannKind Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards MannKind using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of MannKind Corp's stock price.
MannKind Corp Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in MannKind Corp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards MannKind. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of MannKind Corp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 4.7648 | Short Percent 0.076 | Short Ratio 5.18 | Shares Short Prior Month 25.7 M | 50 Day MA 5.439 |
MannKind Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of MannKind Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 5.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.31.MannKind Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to MannKind Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in MannKind. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding MannKind can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around MannKind Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of MannKind Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about MannKind Corp.
MannKind Corp Implied Volatility | 1.56 |
MannKind Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of MannKind Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if MannKind Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that MannKind Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when MannKind Corp's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of MannKind Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 5.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.31.
MannKind Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 5.78 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MannKind Corp to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current MannKind contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that MannKind Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0975% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With MannKind Corp trading at USD 5.78, that is roughly USD 0.005636 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating MannKind Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring MannKind Corp options at the current volatility level of 1.56%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 MannKind Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast MannKind Corp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in MannKind Corp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for MannKind Corp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current MannKind Corp's open interest, investors have to compare it to MannKind Corp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of MannKind Corp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in MannKind. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
MannKind Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MannKind price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MannKind using various technical indicators. When you analyze MannKind charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
MannKind Corp Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the MannKind Corp's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2002-12-31 | Previous Quarter 57 M | Current Value 127.4 M | Quarterly Volatility 71.2 M |
MannKind Corp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of MannKind Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 5.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.31.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MannKind Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MannKind Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
MannKind Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest MannKind Corp | MannKind Corp Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
MannKind Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting MannKind Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MannKind Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.05 and 8.71, respectively. We have considered MannKind Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MannKind Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MannKind Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.187 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1034 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0185 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.3096 |
Predictive Modules for MannKind Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MannKind Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MannKind Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MannKind Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MannKind Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MannKind Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MannKind Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MannKind Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MannKind Corp's historical news coverage. MannKind Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.97 and 8.59, respectively. We have considered MannKind Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MannKind Corp is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MannKind Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
MannKind Corp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MannKind Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MannKind Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MannKind Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 2.83 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 12 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
5.78 | 5.78 | 0.00 |
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MannKind Corp Hype Timeline
MannKind Corp is now traded for 5.78. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. MannKind is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on MannKind Corp is about 2246.03%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.76. About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 3rd of March 2017. MannKind Corp had 1:5 split on the 3rd of March 2017. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MannKind Corp to cross-verify your projections.MannKind Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MannKind Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MannKind Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how MannKind Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MannKind Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AUPH | Aurinia Pharmaceuticals | (0.26) | 10 per month | 1.91 | 0.1 | 4.73 | (3.46) | 14.95 | |
| HRMY | Harmony Biosciences Holdings | (1.11) | 20 per month | 1.59 | 0.14 | 3.38 | (2.28) | 11.30 | |
| CLDX | Celldex Therapeutics | 0.87 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 6.44 | (5.57) | 13.96 | |
| VERA | Vera Therapeutics | 0.09 | 6 per month | 3.08 | 0.13 | 10.77 | (4.62) | 23.44 | |
| JANX | Janux Therapeutics | 0.17 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 8.81 | (5.30) | 63.52 | |
| ABCL | Abcellera Biologics | (0.04) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 5.90 | (8.62) | 22.32 | |
| NUVB | Nuvation Bio | (0.36) | 10 per month | 4.65 | 0.03 | 6.55 | (5.78) | 68.61 | |
| IMCR | Immunocore Holdings | (0.95) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 4.73 | (3.78) | 11.66 | |
| BHVN | Biohaven Pharmaceutical Holding | 0.47 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 10.23 | (7.35) | 45.51 | |
| SION | Sionna Therapeutics Common | (0.14) | 16 per month | 4.64 | 0.04 | 7.92 | (7.41) | 31.39 |
Other Forecasting Options for MannKind Corp
For every potential investor in MannKind, whether a beginner or expert, MannKind Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MannKind Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MannKind. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MannKind Corp's price trends.MannKind Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MannKind Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MannKind Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MannKind Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
MannKind Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MannKind Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MannKind Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MannKind Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify MannKind Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
MannKind Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of MannKind Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MannKind Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mannkind stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.94 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.41 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.8 | |||
| Variance | 7.86 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.6 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.82 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.43) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for MannKind Corp
The number of cover stories for MannKind Corp depends on current market conditions and MannKind Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MannKind Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MannKind Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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MannKind Corp Short Properties
MannKind Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when MannKind Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of MannKind Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential MannKind Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MannKind Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 283.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 197.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MannKind Corp to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade MannKind Stock refer to our How to Trade MannKind Stock guide.You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Will Biotechnology sector continue expanding? Could MannKind diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MannKind Corp. Expected growth trajectory for MannKind significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every MannKind Corp data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.35) | Earnings Share 0.1 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.172 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate MannKind Corp using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating MannKind Corp's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause MannKind Corp's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that MannKind Corp's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether MannKind Corp represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, MannKind Corp's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.