Mobilicom Limited Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| MOB Stock | 6.55 0.29 4.24% |
Mobilicom Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Mobilicom Limited stock prices and determine the direction of Mobilicom Limited American's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Mobilicom Limited's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Mobilicom Limited's share price is approaching 47. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Mobilicom Limited, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (0) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.0003) | Wall Street Target Price 12 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.20) |
Using Mobilicom Limited hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mobilicom Limited American from the perspective of Mobilicom Limited response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Mobilicom Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Mobilicom Limited American on the next trading day is expected to be 7.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.20.Mobilicom Limited Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Mobilicom Limited's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Mobilicom. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Mobilicom can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Mobilicom Limited American. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Mobilicom Limited's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Mobilicom Limited.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Mobilicom Limited American on the next trading day is expected to be 7.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.20. Mobilicom Limited after-hype prediction price | USD 5.96 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Mobilicom | Build AI portfolio with Mobilicom Stock |
Mobilicom Limited Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mobilicom price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mobilicom using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mobilicom charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Mobilicom Limited Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Mobilicom Limited American on the next trading day is expected to be 7.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59, mean absolute percentage error of 0.51, and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.20.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mobilicom Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mobilicom Limited's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mobilicom Limited Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Mobilicom Limited | Mobilicom Limited Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Mobilicom Limited Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Mobilicom Limited's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mobilicom Limited's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.07 and 15.87, respectively. We have considered Mobilicom Limited's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mobilicom Limited stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mobilicom Limited stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.4424 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5934 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0846 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 36.1991 |
Predictive Modules for Mobilicom Limited
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mobilicom Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mobilicom Limited After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mobilicom Limited at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mobilicom Limited or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Mobilicom Limited, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mobilicom Limited Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mobilicom Limited's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mobilicom Limited's historical news coverage. Mobilicom Limited's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.30 and 14.08, respectively. We have considered Mobilicom Limited's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mobilicom Limited is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mobilicom Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mobilicom Limited Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mobilicom Limited is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mobilicom Limited backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mobilicom Limited, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 8.12 | 0.24 | 0.04 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
6.55 | 5.96 | 3.87 |
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Mobilicom Limited Hype Timeline
On the 4th of February Mobilicom Limited is traded for 6.55. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.24, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Mobilicom is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 5.96. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -3.87%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.36%. The volatility of related hype on Mobilicom Limited is about 8285.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.59. About 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.03. Mobilicom Limited had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:275 split on the 10th of October 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mobilicom Limited to cross-verify your projections.Mobilicom Limited Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mobilicom Limited's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mobilicom Limited's future price movements. Getting to know how Mobilicom Limited's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mobilicom Limited may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AIRG | Airgain | 0.07 | 7 per month | 3.49 | 0.06 | 6.97 | (3.73) | 26.60 | |
| NEON | Neonode | 0.14 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 4.95 | (5.26) | 17.08 | |
| CMBM | Cambium Networks Corp | (0.12) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 14.60 | (13.22) | 74.56 | |
| UEIC | Universal Electronics | (0.10) | 8 per month | 3.22 | (0) | 5.70 | (5.11) | 20.40 | |
| AWRE | Aware Inc | (0.03) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 4.10 | (5.95) | 14.94 | |
| PHUN | Phunware | 0.07 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 5.24 | (5.94) | 13.16 | |
| SURG | Surgepays | (0.01) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 11.49 | (12.35) | 52.00 | |
| CPSH | Cps Technologies | 0.52 | 8 per month | 4.77 | 0.06 | 12.89 | (7.89) | 32.46 | |
| SLNH | Soluna Holdings | 0.21 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 16.25 | (13.09) | 41.38 | |
| AMPG | Amplitech Group | 0.23 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 11.28 | (8.88) | 31.09 |
Other Forecasting Options for Mobilicom Limited
For every potential investor in Mobilicom, whether a beginner or expert, Mobilicom Limited's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mobilicom Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mobilicom. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mobilicom Limited's price trends.Mobilicom Limited Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mobilicom Limited stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mobilicom Limited could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mobilicom Limited by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Mobilicom Limited Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mobilicom Limited stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mobilicom Limited shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mobilicom Limited stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mobilicom Limited American entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Mobilicom Limited Risk Indicators
The analysis of Mobilicom Limited's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mobilicom Limited's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mobilicom stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.59 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 8.07 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.12 | |||
| Variance | 65.91 | |||
| Downside Variance | 67.29 | |||
| Semi Variance | 65.07 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.70) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Mobilicom Limited
The number of cover stories for Mobilicom Limited depends on current market conditions and Mobilicom Limited's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mobilicom Limited is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mobilicom Limited's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Mobilicom Limited Short Properties
Mobilicom Limited's future price predictability will typically decrease when Mobilicom Limited's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Mobilicom Limited American often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Mobilicom Limited's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mobilicom Limited's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mobilicom Limited to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mobilicom Limited. Expected growth trajectory for Mobilicom significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Mobilicom Limited assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share (1.03) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.20) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Investors evaluate Mobilicom Limited using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Mobilicom Limited's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Mobilicom Limited's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Mobilicom Limited's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Mobilicom Limited represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Mobilicom Limited's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.