Monsenso Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| MONSO Stock | DKK 0.13 0.01 7.14% |
Monsenso Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Monsenso stock prices and determine the direction of Monsenso AS's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Monsenso's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of today, the value of RSI of Monsenso's share price is approaching 40. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Monsenso, making its price go up or down. Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Monsenso hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Monsenso AS from the perspective of Monsenso response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Monsenso AS on the next trading day is expected to be 0.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.77. Monsenso after-hype prediction price | DKK 0.13 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Monsenso |
Monsenso Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Monsenso price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Monsenso using various technical indicators. When you analyze Monsenso charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Monsenso Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Monsenso AS on the next trading day is expected to be 0.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.77.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Monsenso Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Monsenso's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Monsenso Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Monsenso | Monsenso Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Monsenso Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Monsenso's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Monsenso's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 12.25, respectively. We have considered Monsenso's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Monsenso stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Monsenso stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.017 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -1.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0129 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0876 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.7732 |
Predictive Modules for Monsenso
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Monsenso AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Monsenso After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Monsenso at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Monsenso or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Monsenso, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Monsenso Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Monsenso's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Monsenso's historical news coverage. Monsenso's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 12.49, respectively. We have considered Monsenso's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Monsenso is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Monsenso AS is based on 3 months time horizon.
Monsenso Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Monsenso is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Monsenso backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Monsenso, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.38 | 12.12 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.13 | 0.13 | 0.00 |
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Monsenso Hype Timeline
Monsenso AS is now traded for 0.13on Copenhagen Exchange of Denmark. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Monsenso is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.38%. %. The volatility of related hype on Monsenso is about 33666.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.12. About 49.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.74. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Monsenso AS recorded a loss per share of 0.6. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 17:15 split on the 24th of November 2021. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Monsenso to cross-verify your projections.Monsenso Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Monsenso's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Monsenso's future price movements. Getting to know how Monsenso's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Monsenso may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TDOC | Teladoc | (0.18) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 4.17 | (4.84) | 15.93 | |
| FOM | FOM Technologies AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 6.74 | (7.42) | 50.69 | |
| BIOPOR | BioPorto | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.86 | (3.03) | 11.39 | |
| SHAPE | Shape Robotics AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 21.78 | (13.25) | 79.02 | |
| CBRAIN | cBrain AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 4.61 | (5.82) | 23.20 |
Other Forecasting Options for Monsenso
For every potential investor in Monsenso, whether a beginner or expert, Monsenso's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Monsenso Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Monsenso. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Monsenso's price trends.Monsenso Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Monsenso stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Monsenso could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Monsenso by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Monsenso Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Monsenso stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Monsenso shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Monsenso stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Monsenso AS entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Monsenso Risk Indicators
The analysis of Monsenso's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Monsenso's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting monsenso stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 8.16 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 10.0 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 12.24 | |||
| Variance | 149.9 | |||
| Downside Variance | 288.25 | |||
| Semi Variance | 100.01 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (14.43) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Monsenso
The number of cover stories for Monsenso depends on current market conditions and Monsenso's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Monsenso is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Monsenso's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Monsenso Short Properties
Monsenso's future price predictability will typically decrease when Monsenso's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Monsenso AS often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Monsenso's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Monsenso's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 23.2 M | |
| Shares Float | 15.9 M |
Other Information on Investing in Monsenso Stock
Monsenso financial ratios help investors to determine whether Monsenso Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Monsenso with respect to the benefits of owning Monsenso security.