Mountain Pacific Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression
| MPCB Stock | USD 15.75 0.76 5.07% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Mountain Pacific Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 15.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.70. Mountain Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Mountain Pacific stock prices and determine the direction of Mountain Pacific Bancorp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Mountain Pacific's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Mountain Pacific's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Mountain Pacific hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mountain Pacific Bancorp from the perspective of Mountain Pacific response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Mountain Pacific Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 15.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.70. Mountain Pacific after-hype prediction price | USD 15.75 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Mountain |
Mountain Pacific Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mountain price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mountain using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mountain charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Mountain Pacific Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Mountain Pacific Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 15.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.70.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mountain Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mountain Pacific's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mountain Pacific Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Mountain Pacific | Mountain Pacific Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Mountain Pacific Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Mountain Pacific's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mountain Pacific's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.53 and 16.61, respectively. We have considered Mountain Pacific's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mountain Pacific pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mountain Pacific pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.2578 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2049 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.014 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.7043 |
Predictive Modules for Mountain Pacific
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mountain Pacific Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mountain Pacific's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Mountain Pacific After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mountain Pacific at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mountain Pacific or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Mountain Pacific, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mountain Pacific Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mountain Pacific's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mountain Pacific's historical news coverage. Mountain Pacific's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.21 and 17.29, respectively. We have considered Mountain Pacific's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mountain Pacific is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mountain Pacific Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mountain Pacific Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mountain Pacific is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mountain Pacific backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mountain Pacific, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 1.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
15.75 | 15.75 | 0.00 |
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Mountain Pacific Hype Timeline
Mountain Pacific Bancorp is now traded for 15.75. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Mountain is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on Mountain Pacific is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.75. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mountain Pacific to cross-verify your projections.Mountain Pacific Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mountain Pacific's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mountain Pacific's future price movements. Getting to know how Mountain Pacific's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mountain Pacific may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FMBM | F M Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.10 | 0.11 | 1.01 | (0.89) | 2.49 | |
| JDVB | JD Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.09 | 0.11 | 1.08 | (0.13) | 8.22 | |
| JFBC | Jeffersonville Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.97 | (0.05) | 1.91 | (2.05) | 5.86 | |
| SFDL | Security Federal | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1.20 | (0.47) | 4.19 | |
| CYVF | Crystal Valley Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.65 | 0 | 1.33 | (0.96) | 8.13 | |
| OXBC | Oxford Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 1.12 | (0.58) | 3.68 | |
| CNBB | Cnb Community Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.72 | (0.56) | 3.04 | |
| PPLL | Peoples | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1.61 | 0.00 | 65.12 | |
| CWBK | CommerceWest Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.59 | (0.05) | 1.38 | (1.78) | 5.49 | |
| SLBK | Skyline Bankshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.02 | 0.09 | 1.54 | (0.97) | 7.01 |
Other Forecasting Options for Mountain Pacific
For every potential investor in Mountain, whether a beginner or expert, Mountain Pacific's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mountain Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mountain. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mountain Pacific's price trends.Mountain Pacific Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mountain Pacific pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mountain Pacific could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mountain Pacific by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Mountain Pacific Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mountain Pacific pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mountain Pacific shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mountain Pacific pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Mountain Pacific Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.05 | |||
| Day Median Price | 15.75 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 15.75 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.38 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.76 |
Mountain Pacific Risk Indicators
The analysis of Mountain Pacific's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mountain Pacific's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mountain pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7067 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7095 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.48 | |||
| Variance | 2.2 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.72 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.5034 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.51) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Mountain Pacific
The number of cover stories for Mountain Pacific depends on current market conditions and Mountain Pacific's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mountain Pacific is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mountain Pacific's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Mountain Pink Sheet
Mountain Pacific financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mountain Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mountain with respect to the benefits of owning Mountain Pacific security.