Mission Bancorp Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

Mission Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Mission price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mission using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mission charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Mission Bancorp is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Mission Bancorp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Mission Bancorp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mission Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 95.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37, mean absolute percentage error of 0.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.70.

Mission Bancorp Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Mission Bancorp Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mission Bancorp pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mission Bancorp pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Mission Bancorp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Mission Bancorp. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Mission Bancorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mission Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 94.78 95.50 96.22 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 85.95 112.70 113.42 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 93.78 94.80 95.81 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mission Bancorp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mission Bancorp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mission Bancorp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mission Bancorp.

Mission Bancorp After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Mission Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Mission Bancorp Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Mission Bancorp Hype Timeline

Mission Bancorp is now traded for 95.50. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Mission is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Mission Bancorp is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 95.50. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 11.44. Mission Bancorp had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 105:100 split on the 20th of May 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mission Bancorp to cross-verify your projections.

Mission Bancorp Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Mission Bancorp

For every potential investor in Mission, whether a beginner or expert, Mission Bancorp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mission Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mission. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mission Bancorp's price trends.

Mission Bancorp Related Equities

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