Mohawk Industries Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

MWK Stock  EUR 130.00  1.00  0.76%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Mohawk Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 130.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 211.25. Mohawk Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Mohawk Industries' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Mohawk Industries is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Mohawk Industries 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Mohawk Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 130.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.71, mean absolute percentage error of 28.15, and the sum of the absolute errors of 211.25.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mohawk Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mohawk Industries' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Mohawk Industries Stock Forecast Pattern

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Mohawk Industries Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Mohawk Industries' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mohawk Industries' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 128.18 and 133.32, respectively. We have considered Mohawk Industries' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
130.00
128.18
Downside
130.75
Expected Value
133.32
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mohawk Industries stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mohawk Industries stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.0964
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.136
MADMean absolute deviation3.7061
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0278
SAESum of the absolute errors211.25
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Mohawk Industries. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Mohawk Industries and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Mohawk Industries

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mohawk Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
127.43130.00132.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
126.13128.70131.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
120.07130.17140.26
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Mohawk Industries

For every potential investor in Mohawk, whether a beginner or expert, Mohawk Industries' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mohawk Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mohawk. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mohawk Industries' price trends.

Mohawk Industries Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mohawk Industries stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mohawk Industries could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mohawk Industries by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Mohawk Industries Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Mohawk Industries' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Mohawk Industries' current price.

Mohawk Industries Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mohawk Industries stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mohawk Industries shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mohawk Industries stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mohawk Industries entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Mohawk Industries Risk Indicators

The analysis of Mohawk Industries' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mohawk Industries' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mohawk stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Mohawk Stock

When determining whether Mohawk Industries is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Mohawk Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Mohawk Industries Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Mohawk Industries Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mohawk Industries to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Mohawk Stock please use our How to Invest in Mohawk Industries guide.
You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mohawk Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mohawk Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mohawk Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.