CME Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| MX4A Stock | EUR 255.35 0.10 0.04% |
CME Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of CME's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 17th of February 2026 the rsi of CME's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.35 | Wall Street Target Price 221.47 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.083 |
Using CME hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CME Group from the perspective of CME response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of CME Group on the next trading day is expected to be 255.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 127.45. CME after-hype prediction price | EUR 255.24 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
CME |
CME Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CME price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CME using various technical indicators. When you analyze CME charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CME Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 18th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of CME Group on the next trading day is expected to be 255.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.16, mean absolute percentage error of 7.72, and the sum of the absolute errors of 127.45.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CME Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CME's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CME Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CME | CME Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
CME Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CME's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CME's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 254.30 and 256.40, respectively. We have considered CME's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CME stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CME stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.4792 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.4703 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.1603 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0091 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 127.455 |
Predictive Modules for CME
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CME Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CME After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CME at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CME or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CME, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CME Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CME's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CME's historical news coverage. CME's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 254.19 and 256.29, respectively. We have considered CME's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CME is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CME Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
CME Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CME is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CME backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CME, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 1.05 | 0.11 | 0.67 | 7 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
255.35 | 255.24 | 0.04 |
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CME Hype Timeline
CME Group is now traded for 255.35on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.67. CME is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 255.24. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 140.0%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on CME is about 21.78%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 256.02. About 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of CME was now reported as 67.32. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.39. CME Group last dividend was issued on the 10th of March 2026. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CME to cross-verify your projections.CME Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CME's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CME's future price movements. Getting to know how CME's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CME may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SK3 | Smurfit Kappa Group | 0.00 | 4 per month | 1.04 | 0.02 | 2.00 | (2.04) | 8.61 | |
| SK3 | Smurfit Kappa Group | 0.20 | 2 per month | 1.25 | 0.21 | 4.67 | (2.62) | 8.06 | |
| 1I8 | KIBO ENERGY PLC | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| O08 | HPQ SILICON INC | 0.00 | 4 per month | 5.05 | 0.06 | 10.00 | (9.09) | 41.56 | |
| MTO | METTLER TOLEDO INTL | 36.50 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.01 | (2.26) | 7.25 | |
| MTO | METTLER TOLEDO INTL | 24.50 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.45 | (2.95) | 7.35 | |
| MTO | Mettler Toledo International | (13.00) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.11 | (2.69) | 7.34 | |
| DC3A | DIAMCOR MINING INC | 0.00 | 6 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 3EJ | LODESTAR MIN | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 7UP | CLABO SPA | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for CME
For every potential investor in CME, whether a beginner or expert, CME's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CME Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CME. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CME's price trends.CME Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CME stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CME could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CME by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CME Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CME stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CME shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CME stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CME Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
CME Risk Indicators
The analysis of CME's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CME's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cme stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8374 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.08 | |||
| Variance | 1.16 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.45 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.06 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.81) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CME
The number of cover stories for CME depends on current market conditions and CME's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CME is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CME's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CME to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..