Naspers Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

NAPRF Stock  USD 66.94  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Naspers Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 64.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.99 and the sum of the absolute errors of 121.53. Naspers Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Naspers' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Naspers' share price is at 56. This indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Naspers, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 56

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Naspers' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Naspers and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Naspers' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Naspers Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Naspers hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Naspers Limited from the perspective of Naspers response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Naspers Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 64.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.99 and the sum of the absolute errors of 121.53.

Naspers after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 66.94  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Naspers to cross-verify your projections.

Naspers Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Naspers price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Naspers using various technical indicators. When you analyze Naspers charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Naspers price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Naspers Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Naspers Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 64.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.99, mean absolute percentage error of 6.66, and the sum of the absolute errors of 121.53.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Naspers Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Naspers' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Naspers Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest NaspersNaspers Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Naspers Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Naspers' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Naspers' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 63.05 and 66.93, respectively. We have considered Naspers' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
66.94
64.99
Expected Value
66.93
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Naspers pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Naspers pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.0072
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.9923
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0299
SAESum of the absolute errors121.5325
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Naspers Limited historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Naspers

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Naspers Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
65.0266.9468.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
54.3656.2873.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
65.8066.6667.53
Details

Naspers After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Naspers at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Naspers or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Naspers, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Naspers Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Naspers' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Naspers' historical news coverage. Naspers' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 65.02 and 68.86, respectively. We have considered Naspers' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
66.94
66.94
After-hype Price
68.86
Upside
Naspers is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Naspers Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.

Naspers Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Naspers is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Naspers backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Naspers, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04 
1.94
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
66.94
66.94
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Naspers Hype Timeline

Naspers Limited is now traded for 66.94. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Naspers is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Naspers is about 2063.83%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 66.94. About 21.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.94. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Naspers Limited recorded earning per share (EPS) of 15.91. The entity last dividend was issued on the 5th of October 2022. The firm had 2:1 split on the 11th of September 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Naspers to cross-verify your projections.

Naspers Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Naspers' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Naspers' future price movements. Getting to know how Naspers' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Naspers may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Naspers

For every potential investor in Naspers, whether a beginner or expert, Naspers' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Naspers Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Naspers. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Naspers' price trends.

Naspers Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Naspers pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Naspers could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Naspers by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Naspers Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Naspers pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Naspers shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Naspers pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Naspers Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Naspers Risk Indicators

The analysis of Naspers' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Naspers' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting naspers pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Naspers

The number of cover stories for Naspers depends on current market conditions and Naspers' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Naspers is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Naspers' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Information on Investing in Naspers Pink Sheet

Naspers financial ratios help investors to determine whether Naspers Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Naspers with respect to the benefits of owning Naspers security.