Inari Medical Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

NARI Stock  USD 79.69  0.01  0.01%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Inari Medical on the next trading day is expected to be 75.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.70 and the sum of the absolute errors of 323.58. Inari Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Inari Medical's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The Inari Medical's current Fixed Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 10.69, while Inventory Turnover is projected to decrease to 1.04. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 56.8 M. The Inari Medical's current Net Loss is estimated to increase to about (25 M).

Open Interest Against 2025-03-21 Inari Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Inari Medical's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Inari Medical's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Inari Medical stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Inari Medical's open interest, investors have to compare it to Inari Medical's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Inari Medical is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Inari. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Inari Medical is based on a synthetically constructed Inari Medicaldaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Inari Medical 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of February

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Inari Medical on the next trading day is expected to be 75.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.70, mean absolute percentage error of 114.29, and the sum of the absolute errors of 323.58.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Inari Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Inari Medical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Inari Medical Stock Forecast Pattern

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Inari Medical Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Inari Medical's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Inari Medical's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 70.57 and 81.23, respectively. We have considered Inari Medical's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
79.69
75.90
Expected Value
81.23
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Inari Medical stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Inari Medical stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria87.9296
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -7.1035
MADMean absolute deviation7.7044
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1053
SAESum of the absolute errors323.583
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Inari Medical 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Inari Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Inari Medical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
74.3179.6484.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
67.6672.9987.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
37.3562.7388.12
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
67.4574.1282.27
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Inari Medical

For every potential investor in Inari, whether a beginner or expert, Inari Medical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Inari Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Inari. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Inari Medical's price trends.

Inari Medical Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Inari Medical stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Inari Medical could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Inari Medical by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Inari Medical Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Inari Medical's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Inari Medical's current price.

Inari Medical Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Inari Medical stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Inari Medical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Inari Medical stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Inari Medical entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Inari Medical Risk Indicators

The analysis of Inari Medical's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Inari Medical's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting inari stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Inari Medical offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Inari Medical's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Inari Medical Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Inari Medical Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Inari Medical to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Inari Stock please use our How to Invest in Inari Medical guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Inari Medical. If investors know Inari will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Inari Medical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.84)
Earnings Share
(1.35)
Revenue Per Share
9.901
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.214
Return On Assets
(0.03)
The market value of Inari Medical is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Inari that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Inari Medical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Inari Medical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Inari Medical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Inari Medical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Inari Medical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Inari Medical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Inari Medical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.