NASB Financial OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

NASB Stock  USD 38.00  0.01  0.03%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of NASB Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 37.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.54. NASB OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast NASB Financial stock prices and determine the direction of NASB Financial's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of NASB Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the value of rsi of NASB Financial's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
NASB Financial stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of NASB Financial shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of NASB Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of NASB Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from NASB Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with NASB Financial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of NASB Financial based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using NASB Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NASB Financial from the perspective of NASB Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of NASB Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 37.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.54.

NASB Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 38.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NASB Financial to cross-verify your projections.

NASB Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine NASB price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NASB using various technical indicators. When you analyze NASB charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for NASB Financial is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of NASB Financial value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

NASB Financial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of NASB Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 37.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.54.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NASB OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NASB Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

NASB Financial OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest NASB FinancialNASB Financial Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

NASB Financial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting NASB Financial's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NASB Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 36.77 and 38.70, respectively. We have considered NASB Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
38.00
37.74
Expected Value
38.70
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NASB Financial otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NASB Financial otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.8809
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2828
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0078
SAESum of the absolute errors17.5365
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of NASB Financial. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict NASB Financial. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for NASB Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NASB Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NASB Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.0438.0038.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.1434.1041.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
35.3436.9638.57
Details

NASB Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of NASB Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NASB Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of NASB Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

NASB Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting NASB Financial's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NASB Financial's historical news coverage. NASB Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 37.04 and 38.96, respectively. We have considered NASB Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
38.00
38.00
After-hype Price
38.96
Upside
NASB Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NASB Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.

NASB Financial OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as NASB Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NASB Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NASB Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.15 
0.97
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
38.00
38.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

NASB Financial Hype Timeline

NASB Financial is now traded for 38.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. NASB is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on NASB Financial is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 38.00. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.97. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. NASB Financial last dividend was issued on the 16th of December 2022. The entity had 4:1 split on the 8th of March 1999. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NASB Financial to cross-verify your projections.

NASB Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to NASB Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NASB Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how NASB Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NASB Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FFBBFFB Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.55  0.04  1.33 (1.18) 10.60 
CSHXCashmere Valley Bank 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.03  0.77 (0.75) 10.66 
BFCCBankFirst Capital 0.00 0 per month 0.14  0.01  1.29 (0.97) 2.60 
MBLUMorris State Bancshares 0.00 0 per month 1.54  0.03  3.47 (2.14) 14.61 
MSBCMission Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.60 (0.07) 1.06 (1.05) 7.21 
RVRFRiver Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.07  2.06  0.00  9.45 
TRUXTruxton 0.00 0 per month 1.39  0  2.75 (2.92) 9.79 
MFGIMerchants Financial Group 0.00 0 per month 0.44  0.19  1.57 (1.60) 4.97 
CYFLCentury Financial Corp 0.00 0 per month 1.04 (0.01) 1.60 (2.44) 8.01 
TSCFYTISCO Financial Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for NASB Financial

For every potential investor in NASB, whether a beginner or expert, NASB Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NASB OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NASB. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NASB Financial's price trends.

NASB Financial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NASB Financial otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NASB Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NASB Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

NASB Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NASB Financial otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NASB Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NASB Financial otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NASB Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

NASB Financial Risk Indicators

The analysis of NASB Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NASB Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nasb otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for NASB Financial

The number of cover stories for NASB Financial depends on current market conditions and NASB Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NASB Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NASB Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Other Information on Investing in NASB OTC Stock

NASB Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether NASB OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NASB with respect to the benefits of owning NASB Financial security.