Nathans Famous Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| NATH Stock | USD 101.11 0.01 0.01% |
Nathans Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Nathans Famous' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 2nd of February 2026, The relative strength indicator of Nathans Famous' share price is at 53. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Nathans Famous, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.14) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.111 |
Using Nathans Famous hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nathans Famous from the perspective of Nathans Famous response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Nathans Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Nathans Famous on the next trading day is expected to be 95.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 220.85.Nathans Famous Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Nathans Famous' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Nathans. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Nathans can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Nathans Famous. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Nathans Famous' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Nathans Famous.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Nathans Famous on the next trading day is expected to be 95.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 220.85. Nathans Famous after-hype prediction price | USD 101.09 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nathans Famous to cross-verify your projections. Nathans Famous Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Nathans price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nathans using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nathans charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Nathans Famous Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Nathans Famous on the next trading day is expected to be 95.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.62, mean absolute percentage error of 19.81, and the sum of the absolute errors of 220.85.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nathans Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nathans Famous' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Nathans Famous Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Nathans Famous | Nathans Famous Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Nathans Famous Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Nathans Famous' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nathans Famous' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 93.31 and 97.67, respectively. We have considered Nathans Famous' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nathans Famous stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nathans Famous stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.0967 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.6205 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0373 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 220.8509 |
Predictive Modules for Nathans Famous
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nathans Famous. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nathans Famous' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nathans Famous After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Nathans Famous at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nathans Famous or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nathans Famous, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Nathans Famous Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Nathans Famous' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nathans Famous' historical news coverage. Nathans Famous' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 98.91 and 103.27, respectively. We have considered Nathans Famous' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Nathans Famous is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nathans Famous is based on 3 months time horizon.
Nathans Famous Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nathans Famous is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nathans Famous backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nathans Famous, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 2.18 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
101.11 | 101.09 | 0.02 |
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Nathans Famous Hype Timeline
Nathans Famous is now traded for 101.11. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Nathans is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 101.09. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.06%. The volatility of related hype on Nathans Famous is about 1568.35%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 101.10. About 30.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.55. Nathans Famous last dividend was issued on the 24th of November 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nathans Famous to cross-verify your projections.Nathans Famous Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Nathans Famous' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nathans Famous' future price movements. Getting to know how Nathans Famous' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nathans Famous may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PTLO | Portillos | 0.09 | 9 per month | 2.66 | 0.0001 | 5.19 | (4.41) | 14.89 | |
| DIN | Dine Brands Global | (0.06) | 10 per month | 2.07 | 0.13 | 4.67 | (4.27) | 13.87 | |
| VENU | Venu Holding | 0.57 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 8.16 | (11.37) | 56.39 | |
| MLR | Miller Industries | (0.71) | 9 per month | 1.78 | 0.01 | 2.66 | (2.49) | 7.96 | |
| PBPB | Potbelly Co | (0.01) | 4 per month | 1.10 | 0.11 | 2.91 | (3.50) | 31.44 | |
| KRT | Karat Packaging | (0.32) | 10 per month | 1.94 | (0.01) | 3.23 | (2.77) | 12.60 | |
| LOCO | El Pollo Loco | 0.25 | 10 per month | 1.91 | 0.02 | 3.20 | (3.22) | 16.59 | |
| BLMN | Bloomin Brands | (0.20) | 14 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 5.22 | (7.22) | 22.59 | |
| PACK | Ranpak Holdings Corp | (0.09) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.08 | (4.59) | 21.26 | |
| MNRO | Monro Muffler Brake | (0.91) | 9 per month | 3.58 | 0.03 | 5.20 | (4.43) | 20.48 |
Other Forecasting Options for Nathans Famous
For every potential investor in Nathans, whether a beginner or expert, Nathans Famous' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nathans Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nathans. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nathans Famous' price trends.Nathans Famous Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nathans Famous stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nathans Famous could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nathans Famous by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Nathans Famous Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nathans Famous stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nathans Famous shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nathans Famous stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nathans Famous entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Nathans Famous Risk Indicators
The analysis of Nathans Famous' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nathans Famous' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nathans stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.44 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.15 | |||
| Variance | 4.63 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Nathans Famous
The number of cover stories for Nathans Famous depends on current market conditions and Nathans Famous' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nathans Famous is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nathans Famous' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Nathans Famous Short Properties
Nathans Famous' future price predictability will typically decrease when Nathans Famous' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nathans Famous often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nathans Famous' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nathans Famous' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 27.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nathans Famous to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Nathans Stock please use our How to Invest in Nathans Famous guide.You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is there potential for Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure market expansion? Will Nathans introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nathans Famous. Anticipated expansion of Nathans directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Nathans Famous listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.14) | Dividend Share 2 | Earnings Share 5.55 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.111 |
The market value of Nathans Famous is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nathans that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nathans Famous' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nathans Famous' true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because Nathans Famous' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nathans Famous' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Nathans Famous' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Nathans Famous should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Nathans Famous' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.