577 Investment Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

NBB Stock   24,000  600.00  2.44%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of 577 Investment Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 24,300 with a mean absolute deviation of 307.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17,550. 577 Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for 577 Investment Corp is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

577 Investment 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of 577 Investment Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 24,300 with a mean absolute deviation of 307.89, mean absolute percentage error of 161,519, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17,550.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict 577 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that 577 Investment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

577 Investment Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest 577 Investment577 Investment Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

577 Investment Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting 577 Investment's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. 577 Investment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24,299 and 24,301, respectively. We have considered 577 Investment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
24,000
24,299
Downside
24,300
Expected Value
24,301
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of 577 Investment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent 577 Investment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria122.7514
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -90.3509
MADMean absolute deviation307.8947
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0131
SAESum of the absolute errors17550.0
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of 577 Investment. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for 577 Investment Corp and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for 577 Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 577 Investment Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23,99924,00024,001
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23,69923,70026,400
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
24,05824,60825,159
Details

Other Forecasting Options for 577 Investment

For every potential investor in 577, whether a beginner or expert, 577 Investment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 577 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 577. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying 577 Investment's price trends.

577 Investment Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with 577 Investment stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of 577 Investment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing 577 Investment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

577 Investment Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of 577 Investment's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of 577 Investment's current price.

577 Investment Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how 577 Investment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading 577 Investment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying 577 Investment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify 577 Investment Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

577 Investment Risk Indicators

The analysis of 577 Investment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in 577 Investment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting 577 stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with 577 Investment

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if 577 Investment position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in 577 Investment will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against 577 Stock

  0.89AAA An Phat PlasticPairCorr
  0.82ABS Binhthuan AgriculturePairCorr
  0.8ADS Damsan JSCPairCorr
  0.77AME Alphanam MEPairCorr
  0.74AAM Mekong Fisheries JSCPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to 577 Investment could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace 577 Investment when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back 577 Investment - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling 577 Investment Corp to buy it.
The correlation of 577 Investment is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as 577 Investment moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if 577 Investment Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for 577 Investment can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in 577 Stock

577 Investment financial ratios help investors to determine whether 577 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 577 with respect to the benefits of owning 577 Investment security.