Neo Concept Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

NCI Stock  USD 1.13  0.05  4.24%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Neo Concept International Group on the next trading day is expected to be 1.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.78. Neo Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Neo Concept's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 19th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Neo Concept's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Neo Concept's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Neo Concept International Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Neo Concept's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.34
Wall Street Target Price
25
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.24)
Using Neo Concept hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Neo Concept International Group from the perspective of Neo Concept response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Neo Concept International Group on the next trading day is expected to be 1.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.78.

Neo Concept after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.26  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Neo Concept to cross-verify your projections.
The Neo Concept's current Payables Turnover is estimated to increase to 27.69, while Inventory Turnover is projected to decrease to 56.25. . The Neo Concept's current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 33.4 M. The Neo Concept's current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 145.7 M.

Neo Concept Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Neo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Neo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Neo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Neo Concept Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Neo Concept's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2000-12-31
Previous Quarter
9.2 M
Current Value
1.9 M
Quarterly Volatility
41.9 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Neo Concept is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Neo Concept International Group value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Neo Concept Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 20th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Neo Concept International Group on the next trading day is expected to be 1.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.78.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Neo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Neo Concept's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Neo Concept Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Neo ConceptNeo Concept Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Neo Concept Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Neo Concept's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Neo Concept's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 10.46, respectively. We have considered Neo Concept's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.13
1.33
Expected Value
10.46
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Neo Concept stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Neo Concept stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.7469
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0783
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0611
SAESum of the absolute errors4.777
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Neo Concept International Group. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Neo Concept. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Neo Concept

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Neo Concept Internat. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Neo Concept's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.2610.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.1210.32
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.060.080.10
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Neo Concept

For every potential investor in Neo, whether a beginner or expert, Neo Concept's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Neo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Neo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Neo Concept's price trends.

Neo Concept Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Neo Concept stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Neo Concept could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Neo Concept by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Neo Concept Internat Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Neo Concept's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Neo Concept's current price.

Neo Concept Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Neo Concept stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Neo Concept shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Neo Concept stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Neo Concept International Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Neo Concept Risk Indicators

The analysis of Neo Concept's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Neo Concept's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting neo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Neo Concept Internat offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Neo Concept's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Neo Concept International Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Neo Concept International Group Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Neo Concept to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Is Research & Consulting Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Neo Concept. If investors know Neo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Neo Concept listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.34
Earnings Share
0.28
Revenue Per Share
53.315
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.24)
Return On Assets
0.0619
The market value of Neo Concept Internat is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Neo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Neo Concept's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Neo Concept's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Neo Concept's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Neo Concept's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Neo Concept's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Neo Concept is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Neo Concept's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.