Neo Concept International Group Stock Price Prediction
| NCI Stock | USD 0.52 0.03 5.45% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
49
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.523 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.26 | Wall Street Target Price 25 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.21 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.38) |
Using Neo Concept hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Neo Concept International Group from the perspective of Neo Concept response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Neo Concept to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Neo because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Neo Concept after-hype prediction price | USD 0.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Neo |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Neo Concept's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Neo Concept After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Neo Concept at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Neo Concept or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Neo Concept, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Neo Concept Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Neo Concept's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Neo Concept's historical news coverage. Neo Concept's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 16.92, respectively. We have considered Neo Concept's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Neo Concept is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Neo Concept Internat is based on 3 months time horizon.
Neo Concept Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Neo Concept is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Neo Concept backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Neo Concept, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.49 | 16.29 | 0.01 | 0.36 | 6 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.52 | 0.50 | 3.85 |
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Neo Concept Hype Timeline
On the 26th of November Neo Concept Internat is traded for 0.52. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.36. Neo is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.5. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -3.85%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 1.49%. The volatility of related hype on Neo Concept is about 6759.34%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.88. About 80.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.13. Neo Concept Internat last dividend was issued on the 29th of August 2019. The entity had 3:2 split on the 2nd of April 1998. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Neo Concept Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Neo Concept Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Neo Concept's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Neo Concept's future price movements. Getting to know how Neo Concept's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Neo Concept may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| G | Genpact Limited | (0.67) | 11 per month | 0.80 | 0.1 | 2.64 | (1.63) | 11.64 | |
| BR | Broadridge Financial Solutions | 2.67 | 8 per month | 0.54 | 0.05 | 1.66 | (1.26) | 5.12 | |
| BV | BrightView Holdings | (0.93) | 8 per month | 2.71 | 0.01 | 3.55 | (2.88) | 19.91 | |
| FA | First Advantage Corp | (0.58) | 9 per month | 1.57 | (0.02) | 3.63 | (3.01) | 9.66 | |
| FC | Franklin Covey | (0.45) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.45 | (3.04) | 22.53 | |
| KC | Kingsoft Cloud Holdings | (0.05) | 9 per month | 5.41 | 0.19 | 19.49 | (11.49) | 53.75 | |
| LZ | LegalZoom | 0.45 | 12 per month | 2.00 | 0.06 | 4.27 | (2.61) | 21.05 | |
| MG | Mistras Group | 0.19 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 4.10 | (4.10) | 29.26 | |
| NL | NL Industries | (0.64) | 4 per month | 2.86 | 0.09 | 4.35 | (5.52) | 16.96 | |
| SQ | Block Inc | 2.42 | 9 per month | 1.56 | 0.15 | 4.62 | (2.94) | 14.80 |
Neo Concept Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Neo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Neo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Neo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Neo Concept Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Neo Concept stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Neo Concept International Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Neo Concept based on analysis of Neo Concept hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Neo Concept's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Neo Concept's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.001539 | 0.001368 | Price To Sales Ratio | 8.52 | 8.94 |
Story Coverage note for Neo Concept
The number of cover stories for Neo Concept depends on current market conditions and Neo Concept's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Neo Concept is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Neo Concept's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Neo Concept Short Properties
Neo Concept's future price predictability will typically decrease when Neo Concept's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Neo Concept International Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Neo Concept's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Neo Concept's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.8 M |
Complementary Tools for Neo Stock analysis
When running Neo Concept's price analysis, check to measure Neo Concept's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Neo Concept is operating at the current time. Most of Neo Concept's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Neo Concept's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Neo Concept's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Neo Concept to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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