NuCana PLC Stock Forward View
| NCNA Stock | USD 2.25 0.03 1.35% |
NuCana Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast NuCana PLC stock prices and determine the direction of NuCana PLC's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of NuCana PLC's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the rsi of NuCana PLC's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Year (0.05) | Wall Street Target Price 104 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.01) |
Using NuCana PLC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NuCana PLC from the perspective of NuCana PLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of NuCana PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 1.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.97. NuCana PLC after-hype prediction price | USD 2.33 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NuCana PLC to cross-verify your projections. NuCana PLC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NuCana price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NuCana using various technical indicators. When you analyze NuCana charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
NuCana PLC Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the NuCana PLC's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2015-12-31 | Previous Quarter 8.4 M | Current Value 25.2 M | Quarterly Volatility 30.9 M |
NuCana PLC Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 11th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of NuCana PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 1.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.97.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NuCana Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NuCana PLC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
NuCana PLC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest NuCana PLC | NuCana PLC Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
NuCana PLC Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting NuCana PLC's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NuCana PLC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 6.17, respectively. We have considered NuCana PLC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NuCana PLC stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NuCana PLC stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.023 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.193 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0571 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.9685 |
Predictive Modules for NuCana PLC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NuCana PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.NuCana PLC After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of NuCana PLC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NuCana PLC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of NuCana PLC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
NuCana PLC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting NuCana PLC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NuCana PLC's historical news coverage. NuCana PLC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.12 and 6.78, respectively. We have considered NuCana PLC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
NuCana PLC is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NuCana PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
NuCana PLC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NuCana PLC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NuCana PLC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NuCana PLC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.77 | 4.45 | 0.08 | 0.06 | 6 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.25 | 2.33 | 3.56 |
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NuCana PLC Hype Timeline
NuCana PLC is now traded for 2.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. NuCana is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.33 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 3.56%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.77%. The volatility of related hype on NuCana PLC is about 5779.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.19. NuCana PLC currently holds 190 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.0, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NuCana PLC to cross-verify your projections.NuCana PLC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to NuCana PLC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NuCana PLC's future price movements. Getting to know how NuCana PLC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NuCana PLC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MTVA | MetaVia | (0.71) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 11.60 | (20.10) | 79.95 | |
| LSTA | Lisata Therapeutics | 0.07 | 9 per month | 2.44 | 0.11 | 5.58 | (4.37) | 88.91 | |
| PASG | Passage Bio | (0.02) | 21 per month | 6.64 | 0.08 | 14.59 | (9.87) | 58.13 | |
| ENLV | Enlivex Therapeutics | 0.1 | 9 per month | 4.41 | 0.04 | 8.57 | (8.16) | 24.21 | |
| GDTC | CytoMed Therapeutics Limited | (0.02) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 8.33 | (10.38) | 31.46 | |
| CASI | CASI Pharmaceuticals | 0.08 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 5.10 | (7.59) | 32.11 | |
| PTHS | Pelthos Therapeutics | (0.44) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 8.39 | (8.07) | 25.75 | |
| CLGN | Collplant Biotechnologies | 0.12 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 8.51 | (8.72) | 77.60 | |
| NRSN | Neurosense Therapeutics | (0.02) | 7 per month | 4.82 | 0.01 | 12.82 | (7.48) | 34.62 | |
| CLSD | Clearside Biomedical | 0.07 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 7.96 | (17.54) | 83.67 |
Other Forecasting Options for NuCana PLC
For every potential investor in NuCana, whether a beginner or expert, NuCana PLC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NuCana Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NuCana. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NuCana PLC's price trends.NuCana PLC Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NuCana PLC stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NuCana PLC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NuCana PLC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
NuCana PLC Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NuCana PLC stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NuCana PLC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NuCana PLC stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NuCana PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1414.87 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.25 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.27 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.26 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.03 |
NuCana PLC Risk Indicators
The analysis of NuCana PLC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NuCana PLC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nucana stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.4 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.34 | |||
| Variance | 18.82 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for NuCana PLC
The number of cover stories for NuCana PLC depends on current market conditions and NuCana PLC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NuCana PLC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NuCana PLC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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NuCana PLC Short Properties
NuCana PLC's future price predictability will typically decrease when NuCana PLC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of NuCana PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential NuCana PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NuCana PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NuCana PLC to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade NuCana Stock refer to our How to Trade NuCana Stock guide.You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NuCana PLC. Anticipated expansion of NuCana directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive NuCana PLC assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Understanding NuCana PLC requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects NuCana's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what NuCana PLC's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push NuCana PLC's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between NuCana PLC's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding NuCana PLC should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, NuCana PLC's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.