Newmont Goldcorp Stock Forward View
| NEM Stock | USD 117.14 4.29 3.80% |
Newmont Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Newmont Goldcorp's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Newmont Goldcorp's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Newmont Goldcorp fundamentals over time.
As of now, The relative strength momentum indicator of Newmont Goldcorp's share price is at 58. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Newmont Goldcorp, making its price go up or down. Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.081 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.7966 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.3931 | EPS Estimate Next Year 8.4016 | Wall Street Target Price 125.62 |
Using Newmont Goldcorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Newmont Goldcorp Corp from the perspective of Newmont Goldcorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Newmont Goldcorp using Newmont Goldcorp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Newmont using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Newmont Goldcorp's stock price.
Newmont Goldcorp Short Interest
An investor who is long Newmont Goldcorp may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Newmont Goldcorp and may potentially protect profits, hedge Newmont Goldcorp with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 76.9123 | Short Percent 0.0262 | Short Ratio 2.55 | Shares Short Prior Month 19.8 M | 50 Day MA 103.1402 |
Newmont Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Newmont Goldcorp Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 115.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 180.07.Newmont Goldcorp Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Newmont Goldcorp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Newmont. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Newmont can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Newmont Goldcorp Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Newmont Goldcorp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Newmont Goldcorp.
Newmont Goldcorp Implied Volatility | 0.56 |
Newmont Goldcorp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Newmont Goldcorp Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Newmont Goldcorp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Newmont Goldcorp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Newmont Goldcorp's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Newmont Goldcorp Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 115.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 180.07. Newmont Goldcorp after-hype prediction price | USD 114.56 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Newmont Goldcorp to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Newmont contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Newmont Goldcorp Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.035% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Newmont Goldcorp trading at USD 117.14, that is roughly USD 0.041 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Newmont Goldcorp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Newmont Goldcorp Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.56%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Newmont Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Newmont Goldcorp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Newmont Goldcorp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Newmont Goldcorp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Newmont Goldcorp's open interest, investors have to compare it to Newmont Goldcorp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Newmont Goldcorp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Newmont. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Newmont Goldcorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Newmont price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Newmont using various technical indicators. When you analyze Newmont charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Newmont Goldcorp Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Newmont Goldcorp's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 1985-12-31 | Previous Quarter 6.2 B | Current Value 5.6 B | Quarterly Volatility 1.6 B |
Newmont Goldcorp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Newmont Goldcorp Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 115.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.95, mean absolute percentage error of 13.38, and the sum of the absolute errors of 180.07.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Newmont Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Newmont Goldcorp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Newmont Goldcorp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Newmont Goldcorp | Newmont Goldcorp Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Newmont Goldcorp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Newmont Goldcorp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Newmont Goldcorp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 112.10 and 117.99, respectively. We have considered Newmont Goldcorp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Newmont Goldcorp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Newmont Goldcorp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.7044 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.9519 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0294 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 180.0668 |
Predictive Modules for Newmont Goldcorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Newmont Goldcorp Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Newmont Goldcorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Newmont Goldcorp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Newmont Goldcorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Newmont Goldcorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Newmont Goldcorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Newmont Goldcorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Newmont Goldcorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Newmont Goldcorp's historical news coverage. Newmont Goldcorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 111.61 and 117.51, respectively. We have considered Newmont Goldcorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Newmont Goldcorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Newmont Goldcorp Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Newmont Goldcorp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Newmont Goldcorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Newmont Goldcorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Newmont Goldcorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.58 | 2.95 | 1.71 | 0.21 | 7 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
117.14 | 114.56 | 1.52 |
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Newmont Goldcorp Hype Timeline
On the 3rd of February Newmont Goldcorp Corp is traded for 117.14. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.71, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.21. Newmont is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 114.56 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 100.0%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 1.52%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.58%. The volatility of related hype on Newmont Goldcorp is about 824.02%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 117.35. The company reported the last year's revenue of 18.56 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 3.38 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 12.75 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Newmont Goldcorp to cross-verify your projections.Newmont Goldcorp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Newmont Goldcorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Newmont Goldcorp's future price movements. Getting to know how Newmont Goldcorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Newmont Goldcorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AEM | Agnico Eagle Mines | (5.21) | 8 per month | 2.99 | 0.10 | 4.03 | (4.06) | 17.48 | |
| SHW | Sherwin Williams Co | 1.78 | 7 per month | 1.28 | (0.03) | 2.69 | (2.10) | 6.63 | |
| B | Barrick Mining | (1.14) | 8 per month | 2.76 | 0.20 | 4.37 | (4.22) | 20.22 | |
| GFI | Gold Fields Ltd | 0.77 | 10 per month | 3.53 | 0.11 | 6.95 | (6.11) | 23.45 | |
| CRH | CRH PLC ADR | 1.82 | 9 per month | 1.70 | 0.01 | 3.22 | (3.04) | 10.55 | |
| BHP | BHP Group Limited | (1.09) | 8 per month | 1.39 | 0.15 | 2.93 | (2.10) | 8.78 | |
| RIO | Rio Tinto ADR | 1.51 | 6 per month | 1.29 | 0.21 | 2.70 | (2.24) | 8.00 | |
| ECL | Ecolab Inc | 0.56 | 10 per month | 1.15 | 0.03 | 2.03 | (1.79) | 4.70 | |
| KGC | Kinross Gold | 0.24 | 7 per month | 3.13 | 0.15 | 5.44 | (3.98) | 22.39 | |
| SCCO | Southern Copper | 4.34 | 9 per month | 2.51 | 0.19 | 3.92 | (4.16) | 14.68 |
Other Forecasting Options for Newmont Goldcorp
For every potential investor in Newmont, whether a beginner or expert, Newmont Goldcorp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Newmont Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Newmont. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Newmont Goldcorp's price trends.Newmont Goldcorp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Newmont Goldcorp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Newmont Goldcorp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Newmont Goldcorp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Newmont Goldcorp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Newmont Goldcorp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Newmont Goldcorp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Newmont Goldcorp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Newmont Goldcorp Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 398452.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.011792 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | |||
| Day Median Price | 116.88 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 116.97 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 2.41 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 4.29 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 58.44 |
Newmont Goldcorp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Newmont Goldcorp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Newmont Goldcorp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting newmont stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.09 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.83 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.93 | |||
| Variance | 8.57 | |||
| Downside Variance | 11.09 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.01 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.26) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Newmont Goldcorp
The number of cover stories for Newmont Goldcorp depends on current market conditions and Newmont Goldcorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Newmont Goldcorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Newmont Goldcorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Newmont Goldcorp Short Properties
Newmont Goldcorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Newmont Goldcorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Newmont Goldcorp Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Newmont Goldcorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Newmont Goldcorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.6 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Newmont Goldcorp to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Will Metals & Mining sector continue expanding? Could Newmont diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Newmont Goldcorp. Anticipated expansion of Newmont directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Newmont Goldcorp data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.081 | Dividend Share 1 | Earnings Share 6.43 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.2 |
Investors evaluate Newmont Goldcorp Corp using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Newmont Goldcorp's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Newmont Goldcorp's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Newmont Goldcorp's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Newmont Goldcorp should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Newmont Goldcorp's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.