Minerva Neurosciences Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| NERV Stock | USD 2.26 0.00 0.00% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Minerva Neurosciences on the next trading day is expected to be 2.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.63. Minerva Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Minerva |
Minerva Neurosciences Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Minerva Neurosciences on the next trading day is expected to be 2.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.63.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Minerva Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Minerva Neurosciences' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Minerva Neurosciences Stock Forecast Pattern
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Minerva Neurosciences Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Minerva Neurosciences' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Minerva Neurosciences' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 5.14, respectively. We have considered Minerva Neurosciences' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Minerva Neurosciences stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Minerva Neurosciences stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.1013 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0595 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0235 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.6286 |
Predictive Modules for Minerva Neurosciences
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Minerva Neurosciences. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Minerva Neurosciences
For every potential investor in Minerva, whether a beginner or expert, Minerva Neurosciences' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Minerva Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Minerva. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Minerva Neurosciences' price trends.View Minerva Neurosciences Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Minerva Neurosciences Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Minerva Neurosciences' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Minerva Neurosciences' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Minerva Neurosciences Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Minerva Neurosciences stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Minerva Neurosciences shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Minerva Neurosciences stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Minerva Neurosciences entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0841 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.17 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.2 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.19 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.095 |
Minerva Neurosciences Risk Indicators
The analysis of Minerva Neurosciences' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Minerva Neurosciences' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting minerva stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.0 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.9 | |||
| Variance | 8.44 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for Minerva Stock Analysis
When running Minerva Neurosciences' price analysis, check to measure Minerva Neurosciences' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Minerva Neurosciences is operating at the current time. Most of Minerva Neurosciences' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Minerva Neurosciences' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Minerva Neurosciences' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Minerva Neurosciences to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.