Exicure Stock Price Prediction
| XCUR Stock | USD 4.19 0.86 17.03% |
Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 2 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 9.28 |
Using Exicure hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Exicure from the perspective of Exicure response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Exicure to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Exicure because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Exicure after-hype prediction price | USD 4.32 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Exicure Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Exicure's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Exicure After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Exicure at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Exicure or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Exicure, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Exicure Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Exicure's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Exicure's historical news coverage. Exicure's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.22 and 14.56, respectively. We have considered Exicure's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Exicure is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Exicure is based on 3 months time horizon.
Exicure Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Exicure is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Exicure backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Exicure, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.43 | 10.40 | 0.44 | 0.02 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.19 | 4.32 | 14.46 |
|
Exicure Hype Timeline
Exicure is at this time traded for 4.19. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.44, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Exicure is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 4.32. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -14.46%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.43%. The volatility of related hype on Exicure is about 17931.03%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.17. About 35.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The book value of Exicure was at this time reported as 1.09. The company recorded a loss per share of 3.72. Exicure had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:5 split on the 28th of August 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Exicure Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Exicure Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Exicure's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Exicure's future price movements. Getting to know how Exicure's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Exicure may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KLTO | Klotho Neurosciences | 0.02 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 10.34 | (8.57) | 28.13 | |
| SONN | Sonnet Biotherapeutics Holdings | (0.03) | 25 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 19.48 | (18.21) | 69.59 | |
| IBIO | iBio Common Stock | (0.09) | 7 per month | 6.77 | 0.13 | 25.23 | (11.24) | 59.00 | |
| MTVA | MetaVia | (0.19) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 11.60 | (20.10) | 79.95 | |
| CLGN | Collplant Biotechnologies | 0.18 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 8.51 | (7.84) | 25.76 | |
| CVKD | Cadrenal Therapeutics Common | (0.96) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 10.34 | (8.29) | 58.15 | |
| RLYB | Rallybio Corp | (0.06) | 6 per month | 3.01 | 0.05 | 8.33 | (5.71) | 21.25 | |
| NRXS | Neuraxis | (0.27) | 9 per month | 4.62 | 0.06 | 7.88 | (8.64) | 38.80 | |
| NRSN | Neurosense Therapeutics | (0.02) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 12.82 | (7.48) | 34.62 | |
| TAOX | TAO Synergies | 0.84 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 12.66 | (10.43) | 36.28 |
Exicure Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Exicure price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Exicure using various technical indicators. When you analyze Exicure charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Exicure Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Exicure stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Exicure, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Exicure based on analysis of Exicure hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Exicure's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Exicure's related companies. | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 342.3 | 359.41 | PTB Ratio | 14.16 | 13.45 |
Pair Trading with Exicure
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Exicure position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Exicure will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Exicure Stock
Moving against Exicure Stock
| 0.58 | DRMA | Dermata Therapeutics | PairCorr |
| 0.54 | SLN | Silence Therapeutics PLC | PairCorr |
| 0.48 | FSTF | First State Financial | PairCorr |
| 0.45 | AMRN | Amarin PLC | PairCorr |
| 0.42 | COEP | Coeptis Therapeutics | PairCorr |
| 0.36 | PPBT | Purple Biotech | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Exicure could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Exicure when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Exicure - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Exicure to buy it.
The correlation of Exicure is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Exicure moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Exicure moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Exicure can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Exicure Stock Analysis
When running Exicure's price analysis, check to measure Exicure's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Exicure is operating at the current time. Most of Exicure's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Exicure's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Exicure's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Exicure to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.