NFI Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

NFYEF Stock  USD 10.60  0.15  1.44%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of NFI Group on the next trading day is expected to be 10.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.09. NFI Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of NFI's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for NFI is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

NFI Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of NFI Group on the next trading day is expected to be 10.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.09.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NFI Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NFI's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

NFI Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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NFI Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting NFI's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NFI's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.76 and 12.29, respectively. We have considered NFI's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.60
10.53
Expected Value
12.29
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NFI pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NFI pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.7607
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.096
MADMean absolute deviation0.205
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0166
SAESum of the absolute errors12.095
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of NFI Group price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of NFI. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for NFI

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NFI Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NFI's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.6810.4512.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.6611.4313.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10.2110.8411.47
Details

Other Forecasting Options for NFI

For every potential investor in NFI, whether a beginner or expert, NFI's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NFI Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NFI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NFI's price trends.

NFI Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NFI pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NFI could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NFI by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

NFI Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of NFI's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of NFI's current price.

NFI Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NFI pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NFI shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NFI pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify NFI Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

NFI Risk Indicators

The analysis of NFI's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NFI's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nfi pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in NFI Pink Sheet

NFI financial ratios help investors to determine whether NFI Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NFI with respect to the benefits of owning NFI security.