NFI Valuation

NFYEF Stock  USD 10.45  0.41  3.78%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. NFI Group secures a last-minute Real Value of $11.43 per share. The latest price of the firm is $10.45. Our model forecasts the value of NFI Group from evaluating the firm fundamentals such as return on equity of -0.18, and Profit Margin of (0.07) % as well as inspecting its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Undervalued
Today
10.45
Please note that NFI's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of NFI Group is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing NFI's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the NFI pink sheet is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of NFI Group. Since NFI is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of NFI Pink Sheet. However, NFI's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  10.45 Real  11.43 Hype  10.45 Naive  9.89
The real value of NFI Pink Sheet, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of NFI Group Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on NFI's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of NFI's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
11.43
Real Value
13.20
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of NFI Group helps investors to forecast how NFI pink sheet's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of NFI more accurately as focusing exclusively on NFI's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.2110.8411.47
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.6810.4512.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
8.129.8911.66
Details

NFI Total Value Analysis

NFI Group is now forecasted to have takeover price of 1.64 B with market capitalization of 642.25 M, debt of 812.18 M, and cash on hands of 50.27 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the NFI fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
1.64 B
642.25 M
812.18 M
50.27 M

NFI Investor Information

About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.74. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. NFI Group has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 271.5. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.68. The firm last dividend was issued on the 29th of September 2022. NFI had 1:10 split on the 5th of October 2011. Based on the key indicators obtained from NFI's historical financial statements, NFI Group is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in December.

NFI Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. NFI has an asset utilization ratio of 90.16 percent. This implies that the Company is making $0.9 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that NFI Group is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

NFI Ownership Allocation

NFI Group maintains a total of 77.15 Million outstanding shares. 30% of NFI outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. Institutional investors are typically referred to investors that purchase positions in a given stock to benefit from reduced commissions. Thus, institutional investors are subject to different rules and regulations than regular investors. Please look out for any change in current institutional holding as this could mean something significant has changed at the company or is about to change. Please note that no matter how many assets the company has, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

NFI Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 2.34 B. Net Loss for the year was (14.48 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 190.24 M.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates NFI's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in NFI and how it compares across the competition.

About NFI Valuation

The pink sheet valuation mechanism determines NFI's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of NFI. We calculate exposure to NFI's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of NFI's related companies.
NFI Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells buses in North America, the United Kingdom, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. NFI Group Inc. was founded in 1930 and is headquartered in Winnipeg, Canada. New Flyer is traded on OTC Exchange in the United States.

8 Steps to conduct NFI's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates NFI's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct NFI's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain NFI's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine NFI's revenue streams: Identify NFI's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research NFI's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish NFI's growth potential: Evaluate NFI's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine NFI's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate NFI's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

NFI Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as NFI does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding77.1 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.752
Forward Price Earnings14.8368
Retained Earnings-132.2 M

Complementary Tools for NFI Pink Sheet analysis

When running NFI's price analysis, check to measure NFI's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NFI is operating at the current time. Most of NFI's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NFI's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NFI's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NFI to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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