NIBE Industrier Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| NIBE-B Stock | SEK 48.62 2.87 6.27% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of NIBE Industrier AB on the next trading day is expected to be 43.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.84 and the sum of the absolute errors of 112.13. NIBE Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast NIBE Industrier stock prices and determine the direction of NIBE Industrier AB's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of NIBE Industrier's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
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NIBE Industrier Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of NIBE Industrier AB on the next trading day is expected to be 43.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.84, mean absolute percentage error of 4.96, and the sum of the absolute errors of 112.13.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NIBE Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NIBE Industrier's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
NIBE Industrier Stock Forecast Pattern
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NIBE Industrier Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting NIBE Industrier's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NIBE Industrier's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 40.51 and 45.97, respectively. We have considered NIBE Industrier's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NIBE Industrier stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NIBE Industrier stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.7129 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.8382 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0366 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 112.1294 |
Predictive Modules for NIBE Industrier
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NIBE Industrier AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for NIBE Industrier
For every potential investor in NIBE, whether a beginner or expert, NIBE Industrier's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NIBE Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NIBE. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NIBE Industrier's price trends.NIBE Industrier Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NIBE Industrier stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NIBE Industrier could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NIBE Industrier by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
NIBE Industrier AB Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of NIBE Industrier's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of NIBE Industrier's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
NIBE Industrier Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NIBE Industrier stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NIBE Industrier shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NIBE Industrier stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NIBE Industrier AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
NIBE Industrier Risk Indicators
The analysis of NIBE Industrier's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NIBE Industrier's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nibe stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.97 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.71 | |||
| Variance | 7.34 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Other Information on Investing in NIBE Stock
NIBE Industrier financial ratios help investors to determine whether NIBE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NIBE with respect to the benefits of owning NIBE Industrier security.