NIP Group Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| NIPG Stock | 1.09 0.01 0.91% |
NIP Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of NIP Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 27th of January 2026, the relative strength indicator of NIP Group's share price is approaching 40. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling NIP Group, making its price go up or down. Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (0.30) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.17) | Wall Street Target Price 6 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.555 |
Using NIP Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NIP Group American from the perspective of NIP Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
NIP Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of NIP Group American on the next trading day is expected to be 1.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.27.NIP Group American Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to NIP Group's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in NIP. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding NIP can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around NIP Group American. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of NIP Group's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about NIP Group.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of NIP Group American on the next trading day is expected to be 1.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.27. NIP Group after-hype prediction price | USD 1.13 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NIP Group to cross-verify your projections. NIP Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NIP price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NIP using various technical indicators. When you analyze NIP charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
NIP Group Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of NIP Group American on the next trading day is expected to be 1.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.27.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NIP Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NIP Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
NIP Group Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest NIP Group | NIP Group Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
NIP Group Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting NIP Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NIP Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.05, respectively. We have considered NIP Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NIP Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NIP Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.3686 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0095 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0378 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0292 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.27 |
Predictive Modules for NIP Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NIP Group American. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.NIP Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of NIP Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NIP Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of NIP Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
NIP Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting NIP Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NIP Group's historical news coverage. NIP Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 5.09, respectively. We have considered NIP Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
NIP Group is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NIP Group American is based on 3 months time horizon.
NIP Group Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NIP Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NIP Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NIP Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.61 | 3.96 | 0.04 | 0.08 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.09 | 1.13 | 3.67 |
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NIP Group Hype Timeline
NIP Group American is now traded for 1.09. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. NIP is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.13 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 3.67%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.61%. The volatility of related hype on NIP Group is about 3153.98%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.17. NIP Group American currently holds 19.12 M in liabilities. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NIP Group to cross-verify your projections.NIP Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to NIP Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NIP Group's future price movements. Getting to know how NIP Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NIP Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RDI | Reading International | 0.03 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.17 | (4.51) | 14.05 | |
| TOON | Kartoon Studios | 0.04 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.41 | (4.35) | 19.55 | |
| LVO | LiveOne | 0.02 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 6.29 | (7.32) | 25.02 | |
| AGAE | Allied Gaming Entertainment | 0.00 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 8.82 | (7.89) | 22.00 | |
| RSVR | Reservoir Media | 0.11 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.18 | (2.54) | 7.75 | |
| TC | TuanChe ADR | 1.14 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 7.45 | (10.60) | 31.07 | |
| FLNT | Fluent Inc | (0.09) | 9 per month | 3.21 | 0.16 | 10.98 | (5.51) | 26.93 | |
| CNVS | Cineverse Corp | (0.03) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 5.04 | (6.27) | 14.74 | |
| KORE | KORE Group Holdings | (0.09) | 7 per month | 2.58 | 0.16 | 7.54 | (4.48) | 19.35 |
Other Forecasting Options for NIP Group
For every potential investor in NIP, whether a beginner or expert, NIP Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NIP Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NIP. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NIP Group's price trends.NIP Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NIP Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NIP Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NIP Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
NIP Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NIP Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NIP Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NIP Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NIP Group American entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.09 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.09 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 40.6 |
NIP Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of NIP Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NIP Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nip stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.92 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.98 | |||
| Variance | 15.81 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for NIP Group
The number of cover stories for NIP Group depends on current market conditions and NIP Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NIP Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NIP Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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NIP Group Short Properties
NIP Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when NIP Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of NIP Group American often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential NIP Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NIP Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 37.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 12.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NIP Group to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the AI Portfolio Prophet module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NIP Group. If investors know NIP will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NIP Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (2.47) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.555 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of NIP Group American is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NIP that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NIP Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NIP Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NIP Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NIP Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NIP Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NIP Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NIP Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.