Newlake Capital OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| NLCP Stock | USD 14.99 0.03 0.20% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Newlake Capital Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 14.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.44. Newlake OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of rsi of Newlake Capital's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Newlake Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Newlake Capital Partners from the perspective of Newlake Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Newlake Capital Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 14.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.44. Newlake Capital after-hype prediction price | USD 15.57 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Newlake |
Newlake Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Newlake price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Newlake using various technical indicators. When you analyze Newlake charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Newlake Capital Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Newlake Capital Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 14.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.44.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Newlake OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Newlake Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Newlake Capital OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
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Newlake Capital Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Newlake Capital's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Newlake Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.44 and 16.54, respectively. We have considered Newlake Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Newlake Capital otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Newlake Capital otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.1388 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0367 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1407 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0102 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.44 |
Predictive Modules for Newlake Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Newlake Capital Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Newlake Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Newlake Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Newlake Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Newlake Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Newlake Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Newlake Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Newlake Capital's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Newlake Capital's historical news coverage. Newlake Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.02 and 17.12, respectively. We have considered Newlake Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Newlake Capital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Newlake Capital Partners is based on 3 months time horizon.
Newlake Capital OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Newlake Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Newlake Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Newlake Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.28 | 1.55 | 0.58 | 0.08 | 4 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
14.99 | 15.57 | 3.87 |
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Newlake Capital Hype Timeline
Newlake Capital Partners is now traded for 14.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.58, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Newlake is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 15.57 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 74.52%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 3.87%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.28%. The volatility of related hype on Newlake Capital is about 527.21%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.07. Newlake Capital Partners currently holds 3.76 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.01, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Newlake Capital to cross-verify your projections.Newlake Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Newlake Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Newlake Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Newlake Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Newlake Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BTBIF | BTB Real Estate | 2.08 | 8 per month | 0.37 | 0.10 | 1.47 | (0.73) | 4.98 | |
| MGRUF | Morguard Real Estate | 0.1 | 2 per month | 1.11 | 0.06 | 3.06 | (2.97) | 14.96 | |
| DRETF | Dream Office Real | 0.23 | 29 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.70 | |
| PAZRF | Plaza Retail REIT | 0.33 | 26 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 1.01 | 0.00 | 6.78 | |
| AGPYY | Agile Group Holdings | 0.1 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 52.79 | |
| NTPIF | Nam Tai Property | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.44 | 0.02 | 4.16 | (3.37) | 11.16 | |
| MDTWF | Mediterranean Towers | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.44 | |
| FRMUF | Firm Capital Property | 0.1 | 2 per month | 0.65 | (0.04) | 1.83 | (0.95) | 6.74 | |
| PREUF | Prosperity Real Estate | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.14 | |
| LSLPF | LSL Property Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.94 |
Other Forecasting Options for Newlake Capital
For every potential investor in Newlake, whether a beginner or expert, Newlake Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Newlake OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Newlake. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Newlake Capital's price trends.Newlake Capital Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Newlake Capital otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Newlake Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Newlake Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Newlake Capital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Newlake Capital otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Newlake Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Newlake Capital otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Newlake Capital Partners entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Newlake Capital Risk Indicators
The analysis of Newlake Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Newlake Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting newlake otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7087 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.5 | |||
| Variance | 2.26 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.9034 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.5022 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.37) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Newlake Capital
The number of cover stories for Newlake Capital depends on current market conditions and Newlake Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Newlake Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Newlake Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Newlake Capital Short Properties
Newlake Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Newlake Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Newlake Capital Partners often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Newlake Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Newlake Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 127.1 M |
Additional Tools for Newlake OTC Stock Analysis
When running Newlake Capital's price analysis, check to measure Newlake Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Newlake Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Newlake Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Newlake Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Newlake Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Newlake Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.