NMI Holdings Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| NMIH Stock | USD 40.95 0.03 0.07% |
NMI Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of NMI Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 12th of February 2026 the relative strength indicator of NMI Holdings' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.061 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.2347 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.1155 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.5187 | Wall Street Target Price 46.2857 |
Using NMI Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NMI Holdings from the perspective of NMI Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards NMI Holdings using NMI Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards NMI using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of NMI Holdings' stock price.
NMI Holdings Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in NMI Holdings' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards NMI. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of NMI Holdings stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 38.644 | Short Percent 0.0311 | Short Ratio 4.21 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.5 M | 50 Day MA 39.4204 |
NMI Relative Strength Index
NMI Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to NMI Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in NMI. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding NMI can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around NMI Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of NMI Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about NMI Holdings.
NMI Holdings Implied Volatility | 0.83 |
NMI Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of NMI Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if NMI Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that NMI Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when NMI Holdings' options are near their expiration.
NMI Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 41.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NMI Holdings to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current NMI contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that NMI Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0519% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With NMI Holdings trading at USD 40.95, that is roughly USD 0.0212 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating NMI Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring NMI Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.83%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 NMI Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast NMI Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in NMI Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for NMI Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current NMI Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to NMI Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of NMI Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in NMI. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
NMI Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NMI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NMI using various technical indicators. When you analyze NMI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 24967.91 | 12783.06 |
| Check NMI Holdings Volatility | Backtest NMI Holdings | Information Ratio |
NMI Holdings Trading Date Momentum
| On February 12 2026 NMI Holdings was traded for 40.95 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 41.32 and the lowest listed price was 40.48 . The trading volume for the day was 628.8 K. The trading history from February 12, 2026 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time against the current closing price is 0.63% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare NMI Holdings to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for NMI Holdings
For every potential investor in NMI, whether a beginner or expert, NMI Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NMI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NMI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NMI Holdings' price trends.NMI Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NMI Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NMI Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NMI Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
NMI Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NMI Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NMI Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NMI Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NMI Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 12783.06 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.0357 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 40.9 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 40.92 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.065 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.03 |
NMI Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of NMI Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NMI Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nmi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.71 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.76 | |||
| Variance | 3.08 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.79 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.91 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.33) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for NMI Holdings
The number of cover stories for NMI Holdings depends on current market conditions and NMI Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NMI Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NMI Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NMI Holdings to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in NMI Stock please use our How to Invest in NMI Holdings guide.You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Is there potential for Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance market expansion? Will NMI introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NMI Holdings. Anticipated expansion of NMI directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about NMI Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.061 | Earnings Share 4.92 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.076 | Return On Assets |
NMI Holdings's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on NMI's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate NMI Holdings' intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since NMI Holdings' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between NMI Holdings' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding NMI Holdings should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, NMI Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.