Nextnav Acquisition Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| NN Stock | USD 15.01 1.42 10.45% |
Nextnav Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Nextnav Acquisition's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Nextnav Acquisition's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Nextnav Acquisition fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength indicator of Nextnav Acquisition's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.14) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.98) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.56) | Wall Street Target Price 20 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.45) |
Using Nextnav Acquisition hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nextnav Acquisition Corp from the perspective of Nextnav Acquisition response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Nextnav Acquisition using Nextnav Acquisition's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Nextnav using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Nextnav Acquisition's stock price.
Nextnav Acquisition Short Interest
An investor who is long Nextnav Acquisition may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Nextnav Acquisition and may potentially protect profits, hedge Nextnav Acquisition with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 14.5245 | Short Percent 0.171 | Short Ratio 16.58 | Shares Short Prior Month 16.7 M | 50 Day MA 15.46 |
Nextnav Relative Strength Index
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Nextnav Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 14.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79 and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.76.Nextnav Acquisition Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Nextnav Acquisition's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Nextnav. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Nextnav can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Nextnav Acquisition Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Nextnav Acquisition's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Nextnav Acquisition.
Nextnav Acquisition Implied Volatility | 1.4 |
Nextnav Acquisition's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Nextnav Acquisition Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Nextnav Acquisition's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Nextnav Acquisition stock will not fluctuate a lot when Nextnav Acquisition's options are near their expiration.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Nextnav Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 14.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79 and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.76. Nextnav Acquisition after-hype prediction price | USD 15.37 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nextnav Acquisition to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Nextnav contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Nextnav Acquisition Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0875% per day over the life of the 2026-03-27 option contract. With Nextnav Acquisition trading at USD 15.01, that is roughly USD 0.0131 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Nextnav Acquisition's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Nextnav Acquisition Corp options at the current volatility level of 1.4%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-27 Nextnav Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Nextnav Acquisition's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Nextnav Acquisition's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Nextnav Acquisition stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Nextnav Acquisition's open interest, investors have to compare it to Nextnav Acquisition's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Nextnav Acquisition is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Nextnav. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Nextnav Acquisition Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Nextnav price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nextnav using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nextnav charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Nextnav Acquisition Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Nextnav Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 14.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79, mean absolute percentage error of 0.92, and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.76.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nextnav Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nextnav Acquisition's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Nextnav Acquisition Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Nextnav Acquisition | Nextnav Acquisition Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Nextnav Acquisition Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Nextnav Acquisition's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nextnav Acquisition's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.78 and 18.56, respectively. We have considered Nextnav Acquisition's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nextnav Acquisition stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nextnav Acquisition stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.87 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7865 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0535 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 48.7615 |
Predictive Modules for Nextnav Acquisition
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nextnav Acquisition Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Nextnav Acquisition After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Nextnav Acquisition at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nextnav Acquisition or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nextnav Acquisition, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Nextnav Acquisition Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Nextnav Acquisition's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nextnav Acquisition's historical news coverage. Nextnav Acquisition's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.98 and 19.76, respectively. We have considered Nextnav Acquisition's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Nextnav Acquisition is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nextnav Acquisition Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Nextnav Acquisition Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nextnav Acquisition is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nextnav Acquisition backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nextnav Acquisition, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.38 | 4.39 | 0.36 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
15.01 | 15.37 | 2.40 |
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Nextnav Acquisition Hype Timeline
As of February 7, 2026 Nextnav Acquisition Corp is listed for 15.01. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.36, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Nextnav is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 15.37 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 2.4%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.38%. The volatility of related hype on Nextnav Acquisition is about 11288.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.00. Nextnav Acquisition Corp reports 71.44 M of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.08, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from financial leverage. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nextnav Acquisition to cross-verify your projections.Nextnav Acquisition Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Nextnav Acquisition's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nextnav Acquisition's future price movements. Getting to know how Nextnav Acquisition's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nextnav Acquisition may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DOYU | DouYu International Holdings | 0.28 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.58 | (3.91) | 11.18 | |
| LION | Lionsgate Studios Holding | (0.12) | 11 per month | 1.50 | 0.19 | 4.84 | (2.71) | 11.61 | |
| YELP | Yelp Inc | (0.75) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 2.38 | (3.80) | 12.51 | |
| OPRA | Opera | 0.04 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.68 | (5.97) | 21.13 | |
| GIBO | Global IBO Group | 0.08 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 9.44 | (8.30) | 32.13 | |
| LILA | Liberty Latin America | (0.38) | 8 per month | 2.12 | (0.01) | 3.52 | (3.12) | 15.16 | |
| IAS | Integral Ad Science | (0.01) | 11 per month | 0.00 | 0.1 | 0.39 | (0.29) | 21.04 | |
| IMAX | Imax Corp | 0.31 | 10 per month | 1.90 | 0.06 | 3.42 | (3.31) | 13.79 | |
| CCOI | Cogent Communications Group | 0.20 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 7.09 | (9.80) | 34.85 |
Other Forecasting Options for Nextnav Acquisition
For every potential investor in Nextnav, whether a beginner or expert, Nextnav Acquisition's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nextnav Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nextnav. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nextnav Acquisition's price trends.Nextnav Acquisition Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nextnav Acquisition stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nextnav Acquisition could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nextnav Acquisition by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Nextnav Acquisition Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nextnav Acquisition stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nextnav Acquisition shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nextnav Acquisition stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nextnav Acquisition Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 112363.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.154472 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.1 | |||
| Day Median Price | 14.43 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 14.62 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.3 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.42 |
Nextnav Acquisition Risk Indicators
The analysis of Nextnav Acquisition's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nextnav Acquisition's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nextnav stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.15 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.21 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.46 | |||
| Variance | 19.94 | |||
| Downside Variance | 20.38 | |||
| Semi Variance | 17.7 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.69) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Nextnav Acquisition
The number of cover stories for Nextnav Acquisition depends on current market conditions and Nextnav Acquisition's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nextnav Acquisition is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nextnav Acquisition's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Nextnav Acquisition Short Properties
Nextnav Acquisition's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nextnav Acquisition's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nextnav Acquisition Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nextnav Acquisition's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nextnav Acquisition's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 121.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 80.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nextnav Acquisition to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Will Application Software sector continue expanding? Could Nextnav diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nextnav Acquisition. Anticipated expansion of Nextnav directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Nextnav Acquisition data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (1.18) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.45) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Understanding Nextnav Acquisition Corp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Nextnav's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Nextnav Acquisition's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Nextnav Acquisition's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Nextnav Acquisition's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Nextnav Acquisition should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Nextnav Acquisition's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.