Nokia Corp Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| NOK Stock | USD 6.66 0.23 3.58% |
Nokia Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Nokia Corp's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Nokia Corp's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Nokia Corp fundamentals over time.
As of now, The relative strength index (RSI) of Nokia Corp's share price is at 50. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Nokia Corp, making its price go up or down. Momentum 50
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.39) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.0585 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.3712 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.4217 | Wall Street Target Price 6.7538 |
Using Nokia Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nokia Corp ADR from the perspective of Nokia Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Nokia Corp using Nokia Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Nokia using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Nokia Corp's stock price.
Nokia Corp Short Interest
An investor who is long Nokia Corp may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Nokia Corp and may potentially protect profits, hedge Nokia Corp with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 5.437 | Short Percent 0.0067 | Short Ratio 1.49 | Shares Short Prior Month 35.1 M | 50 Day MA 6.3914 |
Nokia Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Nokia Corp ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 6.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.17.Nokia Corp ADR Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Nokia Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Nokia. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Nokia can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Nokia Corp ADR. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Nokia Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Nokia Corp.
Nokia Corp Implied Volatility | 0.76 |
Nokia Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Nokia Corp ADR stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Nokia Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Nokia Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Nokia Corp's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Nokia Corp ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 6.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.17.
Nokia Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 6.66 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nokia Corp to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Nokia contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Nokia Corp ADR will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0475% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Nokia Corp trading at USD 6.66, that is roughly USD 0.003164 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Nokia Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Nokia Corp ADR options at the current volatility level of 0.76%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Nokia Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Nokia Corp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Nokia Corp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Nokia Corp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Nokia Corp's open interest, investors have to compare it to Nokia Corp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Nokia Corp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Nokia. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Nokia Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Nokia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nokia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nokia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Nokia Corp Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Nokia Corp ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 6.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.17.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nokia Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nokia Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Nokia Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Nokia Corp | Nokia Corp Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Nokia Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Nokia Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nokia Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.29 and 9.03, respectively. We have considered Nokia Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nokia Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nokia Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.9552 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0059 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1215 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0189 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.17 |
Predictive Modules for Nokia Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nokia Corp ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Nokia Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Nokia Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nokia Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nokia Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Nokia Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Nokia Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nokia Corp's historical news coverage. Nokia Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.29 and 9.03, respectively. We have considered Nokia Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Nokia Corp is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nokia Corp ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.
Nokia Corp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nokia Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nokia Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nokia Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 2.37 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
6.66 | 6.66 | 0.00 |
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Nokia Corp Hype Timeline
On the 3rd of February Nokia Corp ADR is traded for 6.66. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.03. Nokia is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Nokia Corp is about 185.01%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.69. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.43. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Nokia Corp ADR has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.05. The entity last dividend was issued on the 28th of October 2025. The firm had 4:1 split on the 11th of April 2000. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nokia Corp to cross-verify your projections.Nokia Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Nokia Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nokia Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Nokia Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nokia Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ERIC | Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson | 0.12 | 8 per month | 1.34 | 0.07 | 3.48 | (1.89) | 10.94 | |
| HPE | Hewlett Packard Enterprise | (0.26) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.75 | (4.17) | 9.60 | |
| CLS | Celestica | 5.16 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 6.99 | (9.66) | 28.27 | |
| UI | Ubiquiti Networks | 2.05 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.95 | (4.03) | 21.80 | |
| GRMN | Garmin | 0.22 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.62 | (2.42) | 11.48 | |
| FICO | Fair Isaac | 5.74 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.93 | (3.16) | 9.68 | |
| ASX | ASE Industrial Holding | 0.17 | 8 per month | 1.87 | 0.22 | 4.23 | (3.59) | 13.07 | |
| CRDO | Credo Technology Group | (2.82) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 8.34 | (7.23) | 23.45 | |
| CTSH | Cognizant Technology Solutions | 0.20 | 11 per month | 0.92 | 0.17 | 2.80 | (2.07) | 8.70 | |
| CIEN | Ciena Corp | 2.23 | 8 per month | 3.81 | 0.14 | 9.22 | (6.53) | 23.22 |
Other Forecasting Options for Nokia Corp
For every potential investor in Nokia, whether a beginner or expert, Nokia Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nokia Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nokia. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nokia Corp's price trends.Nokia Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nokia Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nokia Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nokia Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Nokia Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nokia Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nokia Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nokia Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nokia Corp ADR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Nokia Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Nokia Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nokia Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nokia stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.82 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.53 | |||
| Variance | 6.43 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Nokia Corp
The number of cover stories for Nokia Corp depends on current market conditions and Nokia Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nokia Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nokia Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Nokia Corp Short Properties
Nokia Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nokia Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nokia Corp ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nokia Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nokia Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.4 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nokia Corp to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Communications Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nokia Corp. Anticipated expansion of Nokia directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Nokia Corp assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.39) | Dividend Share 0.14 | Earnings Share 0.13 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.024 |
Investors evaluate Nokia Corp ADR using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Nokia Corp's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Nokia Corp's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Nokia Corp's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Nokia Corp should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Nokia Corp's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.