Nippon Yusen Pink Sheet Forward View
| NPNYY Stock | USD 6.65 0.10 1.53% |
Nippon Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Nippon Yusen's share price is at 52. This indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Nippon Yusen, making its price go up or down. Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Nippon Yusen hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nippon Yusen Kabushiki from the perspective of Nippon Yusen response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nippon Yusen Kabushiki on the next trading day is expected to be 6.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.29. Nippon Yusen after-hype prediction price | USD 6.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Nippon |
Nippon Yusen Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Nippon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nippon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nippon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Nippon Yusen Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nippon Yusen Kabushiki on the next trading day is expected to be 6.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.29.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nippon Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nippon Yusen's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Nippon Yusen Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Nippon Yusen | Nippon Yusen Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Nippon Yusen Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Nippon Yusen's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nippon Yusen's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.94 and 8.00, respectively. We have considered Nippon Yusen's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nippon Yusen pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nippon Yusen pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.3978 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0854 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0132 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.2934 |
Predictive Modules for Nippon Yusen
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nippon Yusen Kabushiki. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nippon Yusen's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nippon Yusen After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Nippon Yusen at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nippon Yusen or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Nippon Yusen, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Nippon Yusen Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Nippon Yusen's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nippon Yusen's historical news coverage. Nippon Yusen's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.13 and 8.17, respectively. We have considered Nippon Yusen's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Nippon Yusen is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nippon Yusen Kabushiki is based on 3 months time horizon.
Nippon Yusen Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nippon Yusen is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nippon Yusen backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nippon Yusen, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 1.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
6.65 | 6.65 | 0.00 |
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Nippon Yusen Hype Timeline
Nippon Yusen Kabushiki is now traded for 6.65. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Nippon is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Nippon Yusen is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.65. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.62. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Nippon Yusen Kabushiki last dividend was issued on the 29th of September 2022. The entity had 3:1 split on the 4th of October 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nippon Yusen to cross-verify your projections.Nippon Yusen Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Nippon Yusen's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nippon Yusen's future price movements. Getting to know how Nippon Yusen's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nippon Yusen may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KAKKF | Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| KAIKY | Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.36 | |
| MSLOY | Mitsui OSK Lines | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.41 | 0.05 | 1.70 | (1.59) | 6.03 | |
| OROVY | Orient Overseas International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 2.08 | 0.00 | 12.64 | |
| MSLOF | Mitsui OSK Lines | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.57 | |
| OROVF | Orient Overseas Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.24 | |
| TRATF | Traton SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.24 | 2.64 | 0.00 | 4.69 | |
| SINGY | Singapore Airlines | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.20 | (1.36) | 3.76 | |
| SITIF | SITC International Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.64 | 0.01 | 3.21 | (4.05) | 13.11 | |
| SINGF | Singapore Airlines | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.36 | (0.01) | 4.95 | (4.80) | 17.76 |
Other Forecasting Options for Nippon Yusen
For every potential investor in Nippon, whether a beginner or expert, Nippon Yusen's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nippon Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nippon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nippon Yusen's price trends.Nippon Yusen Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nippon Yusen pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nippon Yusen could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nippon Yusen by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Nippon Yusen Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nippon Yusen pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nippon Yusen shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nippon Yusen pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Nippon Yusen Kabushiki entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Nippon Yusen Risk Indicators
The analysis of Nippon Yusen's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nippon Yusen's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nippon pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.52 | |||
| Variance | 2.31 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Nippon Yusen
The number of cover stories for Nippon Yusen depends on current market conditions and Nippon Yusen's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nippon Yusen is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nippon Yusen's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Nippon Yusen Short Properties
Nippon Yusen's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nippon Yusen's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nippon Yusen Kabushiki often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nippon Yusen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nippon Yusen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 233 B |
Additional Tools for Nippon Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Nippon Yusen's price analysis, check to measure Nippon Yusen's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nippon Yusen is operating at the current time. Most of Nippon Yusen's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nippon Yusen's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nippon Yusen's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nippon Yusen to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.