Bird Construction Stock Price Prediction
BIRDF Stock | USD 21.68 0.15 0.70% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
47
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Bird Construction hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bird Construction from the perspective of Bird Construction response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bird Construction to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bird because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Bird Construction after-hype prediction price | USD 0.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Bird |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bird Construction's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bird Construction After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bird Construction at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bird Construction or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Bird Construction, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Bird Construction Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bird Construction's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bird Construction's historical news coverage. Bird Construction's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 2.78, respectively. We have considered Bird Construction's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bird Construction is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bird Construction is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bird Construction Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bird Construction is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bird Construction backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bird Construction, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.44 | 2.78 | 0.00 | 1.21 | 0 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
21.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
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Bird Construction Hype Timeline
Bird Construction is currently traded for 21.68. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 1.21. Bird is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.44%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bird Construction is about 101.02%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.89. About 29.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.49. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bird Construction last dividend was issued on the 27th of February 2023. The entity had 3:1 split on the 12th of April 2011. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Bird Construction Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Bird Construction Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bird Construction's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bird Construction's future price movements. Getting to know how Bird Construction's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bird Construction may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
MYRG | MYR Group | 2.24 | 9 per month | 1.64 | 0.21 | 5.71 | (3.02) | 17.58 | |
LMB | Limbach Holdings | 11.12 | 9 per month | 2.19 | 0.15 | 5.81 | (3.62) | 23.26 | |
BWMN | Bowman Consulting Group | 0.82 | 11 per month | 2.49 | 0.02 | 5.26 | (3.52) | 13.51 | |
MTRX | Matrix Service Co | (0.06) | 9 per month | 1.67 | 0.11 | 4.54 | (2.63) | 19.14 | |
AENZ | Aenza SAA | (0.09) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 8.44 | (7.11) | 34.57 | |
MTZ | MasTec Inc | (0.69) | 12 per month | 1.80 | 0.14 | 4.33 | (2.85) | 10.15 | |
J | Jacobs Solutions | (2.92) | 8 per month | 1.63 | 0.05 | 2.41 | (1.97) | 9.97 | |
EME | EMCOR Group | 16.75 | 9 per month | 1.92 | 0.16 | 3.31 | (2.67) | 10.81 | |
FIX | Comfort Systems USA | (6.87) | 9 per month | 2.94 | 0.17 | 5.28 | (3.47) | 17.05 | |
DY | Dycom Industries | 7.22 | 8 per month | 3.05 | (0.01) | 4.43 | (3.57) | 19.59 |
Bird Construction Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bird price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bird using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bird charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Bird Construction Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Bird Construction stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bird Construction, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bird Construction based on analysis of Bird Construction hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bird Construction's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bird Construction's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Bird Construction
The number of cover stories for Bird Construction depends on current market conditions and Bird Construction's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bird Construction is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bird Construction's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Bird Construction Short Properties
Bird Construction's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bird Construction's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bird Construction often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bird Construction's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bird Construction's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 53.7 M |
Complementary Tools for Bird Pink Sheet analysis
When running Bird Construction's price analysis, check to measure Bird Construction's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bird Construction is operating at the current time. Most of Bird Construction's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bird Construction's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bird Construction's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bird Construction to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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